Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction – 6/27/2025

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to host the Washington Nationals on June 27, 2025, both teams find themselves struggling this season. The Angels hold a .500 record at 40-40, while the Nationals sit at 33-48, marking a particularly tough year for them. This matchup is an interleague series opener, and it carries significant implications for both teams as they look to find momentum.

The Angels will start this game with Jose Soriano on the mound. Soriano, currently ranked as the 32nd best starting pitcher in MLB, boasts a solid 3.39 ERA this season. Despite being a high-walk pitcher (10.9 BB%), he faces a Nationals offense that is among the least patient in the league, which could work to his advantage. Soriano projects to allow just 2.1 earned runs today, showcasing his effectiveness when he's on his game.

On the other side, Jake Irvin takes the hill for Washington. Although he has a respectable 6-3 record and a 4.18 ERA, the projections indicate he has been somewhat fortunate, as his 5.16 xERA suggests potential struggles ahead. Irvin will need to navigate a high-strikeout Angels lineup that ranks 2nd in the league in strikeouts, which could pose a challenge for him.

Offensively, the Angels are ranked 22nd in the league, but they have shown power, ranking 4th in home runs. The Nationals, while slightly better at 20th, have a more balanced attack and rank 8th in stolen bases. With the Angels favored at -165 and an implied team total of 4.71 runs, they will be looking to capitalize on their home field advantage and get back on track against a struggling Nationals squad.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

Jake Irvin is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #10 HR venue in MLB — today.

• This pitcher's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.

Extreme groundball batters like Josh Bell usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

The Washington Nationals have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brady House, Riley Adams, James Wood).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

With 6 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Jose Soriano faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Jo Adell is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

• The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Angels' bullpen profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in the league.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 27 of their last 38 games (+16.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)

Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Washington Nationals 3.75, Los Angeles Angels 4.82

• Date: June 27, 2025
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jake Irvin - Nationals
  • Jose Soriano - Angels

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.