Washington Nationals vs Kansas City Royals Pick – 8/11/2025
The Washington Nationals will visit the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on Monday night. The Royals enter this contest as favorites as they look to get closer to the .500 mark for the season. But that will be easier said than done against a Nationals team that played well over the weekend. Here, you can find my breakdown of this interleague matchup in MLB, including my Nationals vs Royals prediction.
Our Nationals vs Royals Pick
- Pick: Royals to win
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Kansas City Royals
- Date & Time: Monday, August 11, 2025, 7:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Cade Cavalli (WSH) vs Bailey Falter (KC)
- Stadium: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- Broadcast: FDSKC and MASN
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Cade Cavalli will make just his second start for the Nationals this season. He threw 4.1 shutout innings against the Athletics in his season debut on August 6 and will look to build on that here. Bailey Falter has a career 5-0 record with a 2.23 ERA against the Nationals. He will aim to continue his success against Washington in his first start against them as a member of the Royals.
Key Players
- Bobby Witt Jr.: The dynamic shortstop for Kansas City is still producing at an All-Star level.
- Adam Frazier: Frazier is coming off a four-hit game and will look to be impactful again tonight.
- James Wood: Wood is one of the few bright spots for the Nationals this season and will try to lead them to a win with his bat.
Recent team streaks
- Nationals: The Nationals have won two straight games going into this matchup. They took two out of three against the San Francisco Giants in their last series.
- Royals: Kansas City dropped two of three to the Minnesota Twins over the weekend.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Adam Frazier | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| James Wood | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first game of the season series between the Nationals and Royals this season.
- Washington is 25-34 on the road this season.
- The Royals are 28-28 at home in 2025.
- Kansas City enters this game four games back of the final AL Wild Card spot.
Nationals vs Royals Model Projection
Score Projection: Royals 5 – Nationals 3
Win Probability: Royals 58%, Nationals 42%
Final Thoughts
Cade Cavalli looked good in his return to the mound for the Nationals. But that was against the lowly Athletics and we should see some regression in his second start. Falter will likely have more success on the mound against the Nationals in this game. I will take the Royals to win this matchup and don’t mind the idea of putting a little something on the Royals to cover the runline at plus money either.
