The Washington Nationals will travel to Truist Park on Monday to take on the Atlanta Braves in the opener of a three-game series. The Braves enter on a recent win streak, looking to finish strong at the end of the regular season. Washington has struggled to string together wins, especially against divisional rivals. Here, we take a closer look at tonight’s game and I bring you my Nationals vs Braves prediction for tonight.
Our Nationals vs Braves Pick
- Pick: Braves -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
- Date & Time: Monday, September 22, 2025, 7:15 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: MacKenzie Gore (Nationals) vs Chris Sale (Braves)
- Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Chris Sale has had a strong season overall, with a 5-5 record and a 2.35 ERA. He has been one of the more reliable starters on Atlanta’s staff when healthy. He has 150 strikeouts in 115 innings of work and will look to continue missing bats in this contest. The Nationals will counter with MacKenzie Gore. His season record is 5-14 with a 4.00 ERA. Gore has struggled with consistency, especially on the road, where his record is 3-8. Sale is expected to suppress Washington’s lineup more effectively than Gore can suppress Atlanta’s.
Recent team streaks
- The Braves have won their last eight games and most recently swept the Detroit Tigers. They are entering this game riding that momentum.
- The Nationals have won two games in a row coming into this contest in the NL East.
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Braves have a 7-3 lead in the season series against the Nationals in 2025.
- Atlanta is 28-21 against NL East opponents so far this year.
- Washington is 20-29 against teams from their division going into tnight’s series opener.
- Washington is 33-45 on the road for the season.
- Atlanta is 36-39 at home in 2025.
Nationals vs Braves Model Projection
Score Projection: Nationals 3 – Braves 6
Win Probability: Braves 72%, Nationals 28%
Final Thoughts
My best bet for this game is for the Atlanta Braves to win and cover the runline as a home favorite. The Braves have finally started to look like the team they were supposed to be all season long as the season nears its conclusion. Despite the Braves being eliminated from playoff contention, we should see them come through and win this game by at least two runs behind another strong pitching performance from Chris Sale.
