Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants Pick & Prediction – 4/10/2024

Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants Overview

• Date: April 10, 2024
• Venue: Oracle Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Patrick Corbin - Nationals
  • Jordan Hicks - Giants
• Run Line: Nationals 1.5 -125, Giants -1.5 105
• Money Line: Nationals 170, Giants -195
• Total (Over/Under):8 -115

Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Washington Nationals - 36%
• San Francisco Giants - 64%

Projected Win %:

• Washington Nationals - 29.73%
• San Francisco Giants - 70.27%

Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants Game Preview & Prediction

In a National League matchup scheduled for April 10, 2024, the San Francisco Giants will be hosting the Washington Nationals at Oracle Park. Both teams have struggled this season, with the Giants holding a 4-7 record and the Nationals sitting at 4-6. The Giants are looking to turn their season around, and they will rely on right-handed pitcher Jordan Hicks to start the game. The Nationals, on the other hand, will send left-handed pitcher Patrick Corbin to the mound.

Hicks has had a solid start to the season, with a 1-0 record and an impressive 0.75 ERA. However, his 2.92 xFIP suggests that he may have been lucky and could regress in future performances. Corbin, on the other hand, has struggled with a 6.97 ERA, but his 4.04 xFIP indicates that he has been unlucky and could improve going forward.

The Giants offense has been struggling, ranking 21st in MLB in team batting average and 29th in team stolen bases. However, their bullpen is considered the best in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. The Nationals offense, despite ranking 6th in team batting average, has struggled in other areas such as home runs and stolen bases.

It is worth noting that the Giants' best hitter over the last 7 games has been LaMonte Wade Jr., while the Nationals' best hitter has been Joey Gallo.

According to the current odds, the Giants are the favorites to win the game with a 64% implied win probability. The Nationals, on the other hand, are the underdogs with a 36% implied win probability.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

The San Francisco Giants have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in this matchup.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

The 4th-weakest projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Washington Nationals.

• A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

Washington's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Mike Yastrzemski, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants' bullpen projects as the best out of all MLB teams.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Final Score Prediction: Washington Nationals 3.44 vs San Francisco Giants 5.14

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