Washington Nationals at Oakland Athletics Best Bet – 4/13/2024

Washington Nationals vs Oakland Athletics Overview

• Date: April 13, 2024
• Venue: Oakland Coliseum
• Starting Pitchers:
  • MacKenzie Gore - Nationals
  • Joe Boyle - Athletics
• Run Line: Nationals -1.5 130, Athletics 1.5 -150
• Money Line: Nationals -135, Athletics 115
• Total (Over/Under):8 -110

Washington Nationals vs Oakland Athletics Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Washington Nationals - 55%
• Oakland Athletics - 45%

Projected Win %:

• Washington Nationals - 53.33%
• Oakland Athletics - 46.67%

Washington Nationals vs Oakland Athletics Game Preview & Prediction

In an Interleague matchup on April 13, 2024, the Washington Nationals will face off against the Oakland Athletics at Oakland Coliseum. The Athletics, with a record of 5-8, are having a tough season, while the Nationals are also struggling with a record of 5-7.

The Athletics are projected to start right-handed pitcher Joe Boyle, who has had a challenging season so far. According to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, Boyle is ranked as the #228 best starting pitcher in MLB. On the other hand, the Nationals are projected to start left-handed pitcher MacKenzie Gore, who is ranked as the #69 best starting pitcher in MLB.

Boyle has started two games this year, with a win-loss record of 1-1. His ERA stands at 8.22, which is quite high. However, his 5.41 xFIP suggests that he has been unlucky and may perform better going forward. In comparison, Gore has started two games as well, with a win-loss record of 1-0 and an ERA of 4.09.

Based on projections, Boyle is expected to pitch around 4.9 innings, allowing an average of 2.3 earned runs. He is projected to strike out 4.9 batters but allow 4.2 hits and 2.6 walks, which is not favorable. On the other hand, Gore is projected to pitch around 5.5 innings, allowing an average of 2.2 earned runs. He is expected to strike out 6.5 batters but allow 4.4 hits and 2.4 walks.

The Athletics offense ranks as the #27 best in MLB this season, with a team batting average that ranks last at #30. However, they excel in stolen bases, ranking #5 in the league. The Nationals offense ranks as the #20 best in MLB, with a good team batting average ranking at #6. However, they struggle in home runs, ranking second to last at #29.

Looking at the betting odds, the Athletics have a moneyline set at +115, implying a win probability of 45%. The Nationals have a moneyline set at -135, implying a win probability of 55%. The game total is set at 8.0 runs, indicating an average expectation.

Considering the overall performance and rankings, the Nationals have a slight advantage in this matchup. However, with the unpredictability of baseball, anything can happen on the field. It will be an exciting game to watch between these two struggling teams.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Oakland's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Joey Gallo, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Washington Nationals' bullpen ranks as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in the league.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

Joe Boyle projects for 2.6 walks in today's game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.

J.J. Bleday has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Tyler Nevin has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Nationals vs Athletics Prediction: Nationals 4.17 - Athletics 3.66

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.