The Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays will play in the third game of a four-game series on Wednesday night. The Jays have taken the first two games of this series and have strengthened their grip on the AL East lead as a result. They will look to keep rolling against a Rays team that is nearing elimination from postseason contention. Before the action begins in Tampa, continue reading to get my Blue Jays vs Rays prediction.
Our Blue Jays vs Rays Pick
- Pick: Toronto Blue Jays moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date & Time: Wednesday, September 17, 2025, 7:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs Ian Seymour
- Stadium: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
- Kevin Gausman is fresh off a two-hit shutout with nine strikeouts. He will look to build on his recent performances in this contest.
- Tampa Bay’s Ian Seymour has impressed in a smaller sample of games and will try to perform against a Toronto offense that is incredibly potent.
- Blue Jays shortstop Bo Bichette is on the IL and isn’t expected to return until the beginning of October.
- Toronto holds a five-game lead in the AL East and could move closer to locking up the division title with a win here.
Pitching matchup
Kevin Gausman’s recent form has been impressive. His last start featured pinpoint command, a heavy split-finger with late tumble, and 79 strikes in 100 pitches. For the season he has a 3.44 ERA with elite K-to-BB efficiency and a splitter that neutralizes right-handed power while getting chases under the zone. Tampa Bay’s lineup skews right-handed at its core with Junior Caminero and Yandy Díaz, which plays nicely into Gausman’s pitch mix.
Ian Seymour brings a different look from the left side for Tampa Bay. His fastball-change foundation and a sweeping breaker have kept barrels percentages relatively low, but Toronto can do damage with Vladimir Guerrero Jr., George Springer, Daulton Varsho, and Alejandro Kirk. The Jays’ team OPS vs left-handers has hovered in the mid-.740s to mid-.750s, good enough to pressure Seymour into early high-stress counts.
Recent team streaks
- The Jays have won six games in a row going into Wednesday night.
- Tampa has dropped three straight games going into this contest.
Best Player Props
| Prop Type | Player | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Total Bases | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Over 1.5 |
| Home Run | Junior Caminero | Over 0.5 |
| Strikeouts | Kevin Gausman | Over 6.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Tampa leads the season series against the Blue Jays 5-3.
- The over/under is 1-1 during the current series between these teams.
- Toronto has won two straight games over Tampa Bay.
Blue Jays vs Rays Model Projection
Score Projection: Blue Jays 5 – Rays 3
Win Probability: Blue Jays 56%, Rays 44%
Final Thoughts
Toronto is playing spectacular baseball of late and I expect that to continue in this game. An in-form Kevin Gausman should lead the Jays to a win on the road that could move Toronto six games clear of the Yankees by the end of the night.
