Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction – 8/23/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays will face the Miami Marlins on Saturday afternoon at loanDepot Park in South Florida. Toronto won the first game of this series convincingly and will look for a second straight victory over the Marlins today. Before the first pitch from Miami, continue reading to get my thoughts on this game, including my Blue Jays vs Marlins prediction for today.
Our Blue Jays vs Marlins Pick
- Pick: Blue Jays moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 23, 2025, 4:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: José Berríos (TOR) vs Janson Junk (MIA)
- Stadium: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Toronto hands the ball to José Berríos. He brings a 4.00 ERA into this start across 146.1 innings. He struggled in his last outing by allowing six earned runs over 4.1 innings against Texas. Miami will give the start to Janson Junk. Junk has been a dependable righty with a 4.04 ERA in 82.1 innings of work. This is an evenly matched starting pitching matchup and it should be an interesting one.
Key Players
- Dalton Varsho had multiple extra-base hits for the Blue Jays in their win over the Marlins on Friday. He will be a key player for the Jays again in this contest.
- Javier Sanoja was the only member of the Marlins with a multi-hit game on Friday and he will need to help their offense again today.
Recent team streaks
- The Blue Jays have won two of their last three games coming into this contest.
- Miami has dropped three of their last four games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| José Berríos | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 Ks |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Dalton Varsho | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Blue Jays have won the lone matchup between these teams this season.
- Toronto covered the runline in their first matchup on Friday and the game went under the total.
- These teams have the two best runline records in the league this season.
Blue Jays vs Marlins Model Projection
- Score Projection: Blue Jays 5 – Marlins 3
- Win Probability: Blue Jays 54%, Marlins 46%
Final Thoughts
The Blue Jays are one of the hottest teams in baseball and I expect them to continue to play well in this contest. The Jays are more explosive offensively and aren’t as reliant on one or two key contributors to get their runs across. Without All-Star Kyle Stowers, I expect the Marlins to struggle offensively and for the Jays to get the win in South Florida.
