Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Pick – 8/22/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays and Miami Marlins will open up a three-game weekend series in South Florida on Friday night. The Jays enter this series on top of the AL East and will look to extend their lead against a struggling Marlins team. For a full breakdown of this game, including my Blue Jays vs Marlins prediction, continue reading my preview below.
Our Blue Jays vs Marlins Pick
- Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins
- Date & Time: Friday, August 22, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Shane Bieber (Toronto) vs Undecided (Miami)
- Stadium: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: FDSFL and SNET
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
The biggest storyline of the evening is the return of Shane Bieber. Bieber was acquired at the deadline and is making his first start since recovering from Tommy John surgery. His rehab was impressive and reports indicate he’s regained both command and velocity. This could make an immediate impact on an already deep Toronto rotation. The Marlins have yet to decide on a starting pitcher for this game.
Key Players
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is known for his power at the plate. But he leads the Blue Jays in batting average at .298 and will look to make an impact again in this game.
- Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI and also has a .298 average. He is a consistent performer and Miami needs to find a way to neutralize him.
- Xavier Edwards has been the steady hand atop the Marlins’ lineup with a .302 average. Kyle Stowers leads the club with 25 home runs and 73 RBI. But his status may be in question due to an oblique strain.
Recent team streaks
- Toronto has dropped three of its last four games and they recently lost a series to the Miami Marlins.
- The Marlins lost two out of three games to the St. Louis Cardinals in their most recent series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Bo Bichette | Over 0.5 RBI |
| George Springer | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first meeting of the season between these two teams.
- The Blue Jays hold a 25-14 record against National League teams this year.
- Miami is 20-19 in interleague games in 2025.
Blue Jays vs Marlins Model Projection
Score Projection: Blue Jays 6 – Marlins 4
Win Probability: Blue Jays 60%, Marlins 40%
Final Thoughts
The Blue Jays have the advantage in this matchup from Miami. Toronto’s offense should bounce back from some recent struggles against a Marlins team whose starting pitching situation is a mess today. I’ll take the Jays to win and cover the runline on the road to kick off this three-game set on the right foot.
