Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction – 7/24/2025

The Toronto Blue Jays hit the road to face the Detroit Tigers in the first game of a four-game set at Comerica Park on Thursday. The Blue Jays are coming off another series win over the New York Yankees. Detroit is looking to bounce back from being swept by the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates. Here, I break down this series-opening game and make my Blue Jays vs Tigers prediction.

Our Blue Jays vs Tigers Pick

  • Pick: Blue Jays moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers
  • Date & Time: Thursday, July 24, 2025, 6:40 PM ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Eric Lauer (TOR) vs Reese Olson (DET)
  • Stadium: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
  • Broadcast: MLB Network

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Eric Lauer has been dominant recently for the Blue Jays. He is 5-2 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over 61 innings. He held Detroit to one run over three innings back in May. Detroit’s Reese Olson has impressed with 4-3 record and a 2.71 ERA. Olson has allowed just two runs over his last 10 innings of work. But the Tigers have lost in the two games he started over that stretch.

Bullpen usage

Toronto’s relievers boast a solid 3.50 ERA. That number ranks sixth in MLB. Detroit’s bullpen has struggled lately and ranks 20th in ERA at 4.03. That difference in bullpen quality could matter in a tight game.

Recent team streaks

Detroit has lost 9 of its last 10 games. They were most recently swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates over three games. Toronto is 6‑4 in its last 10 games and they took two out of three games against the New York Yankees prior to this series.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
George SpringerOver 0.5 Home Runs
Reese OlsonOver 5.5 Strikeouts
Bo BichetteOver 1.5 Total Bases
  • The Tigers hold a 2-1 advantage in their season series against the Blue Jays in 2025.
  • The Blue Jays have the best runline win percentage in the league at 60-42 (58.8%).
  • The Blue Jays are 23-25 on the road this year. The Tigers are 32-18 at home.
  • Both teams have seen at least 52% of their games go over their respective totals this season.

Blue Jays vs Tigers Model Projection

Score Projection: Toronto 5 – Detroit 4

Win Probability: Toronto 50%, Detroit 50%

Final Thoughts

The TIgers are a home favorite and are tied with the Blue Jays and Astros for the most wins in the American League. But they have really struggled lately. I expect the struggles of the Tigers to continue in this contest against a Blue Jays team that is playing at a very high level. Look for Toronto to hand the Tigers a fourth straight loss to open this series that has huge playoff implications in the American League.


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Home MLB Picks Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction – 7/24/2025