Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Pick – 7/25/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers will meet in the second game of a four-game series on Friday night in Detroit. The Blue Jays continued their recent hot streak with a win on the road in Thursday’s series opener. Detroit will look to even things up in this contest. For a full breakdown of this game, including my Blue Jays vs Tigers prediction, continue reading our preview right here.
Our Blue Jays vs Tigers Pick
- Pick: Tigers Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers
- Date & Time: Friday, July 25, 2025 – 7:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: José Berríos (6‑4, 3.87 ERA) vs Keider Montero (4‑2, 4.28 ERA)
- Stadium: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
- Broadcast: FDSDET and SNET
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
Jose Berríos has delivered solid work for Toronto this season. He is 6-4 with a 3.87 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over 121.1 innings. Berrios averages under a strikeout per inning on the season and it will be interesting to see if pitching to contact works for him against a dangerous Tigers lineup.
Keider Montero is a lesser‑known arm. He stands at 4‑2 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.38 WHIP across 69.1 innings of work. He has allowed 13 home runs in under 70 innings on the bump this season and that is a concern against the potent offense of Toronto.
Bullpen Usage
Toronto ranks sixth in bullpen ERA this season. Detroit is 21st in that category. The Blue Jays were clearly better with their bullpen in their 11-4 win over the Tigers last night.
Recent Team Streaks
- Toronto has won four of their last five games. That includes yesterday’s series opener against Detroit.
- Detroit has lost four games in a row coming into this contest.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Over 1.5 total bases |
| George Springer | Over 1.5 hits + runs |
| Spencer Torkelson | Over 0.5 home runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The season series between these teams is tied 2-2 after last night’s win for Toronto.
- The over/under market has gone 2-2 in the first four games of the season series between these teams.
- Toronto has held Detroit to five runs or less in all four games they’ve played this year.
Blue Jays vs Tigers Model Projection
Score Projection: Detroit 4 ‑ Toronto 3
Win Probability: Toronto 53%, Detroit 47%
Final Thoughts
Toronto is playing incredible baseball of late, I can’t deny that. But I think that we are going to see a very close game between the Jays and Tigers here. I will take the Tigers on the moneyline in this game, as I think there is some value on them when you zoom out and look at their body of work over the course of the entire season.
