Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Preview – 6/23/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Details

• Date: June 23, 2024
• Venue: Progressive Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Yusei Kikuchi - Blue Jays
  • Triston McKenzie - Guardians

Betting Odds

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays and Cleveland Guardians face off on June 23, 2024, at Progressive Field in a highly anticipated American League matchup. The Guardians are enjoying a stellar season with a 47-26 record, while the Blue Jays are struggling at 35-40. This game marks the third in the series, with both teams looking to gain momentum.

Cleveland's Triston McKenzie, ranked as the 188th best starting pitcher according to Power Rankings, takes the mound against Toronto's Yusei Kikuchi, who is ranked 87th. Despite McKenzie's lower ranking, the Guardians' offense offers average power, with a .409 batting average and a 1.186 OPS over the past week. Will Brennan has been especially hot, tallying 9 hits, 5 runs, and 2 home runs in the last 6 games.

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays' offense has been underwhelming, ranking 23rd in team batting average, 29th in home runs, and 22nd in stolen bases. Ernie Clement stands out with a .500 batting average and a 1.333 OPS over the past week, contributing 6 hits and 4 RBIs in 4 games.

THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives the Guardians a slight edge with a 53% win probability. Betting markets reflect a close contest, with both teams' moneylines set at -110. The high projected game total of 9.0 runs suggests a potentially explosive offensive showdown. Cleveland's implied team total is 4.50 runs, supported by THE BAT X projecting them to score 4.72 runs on average.

While Kikuchi has the edge in the pitching matchup, Cleveland's average offensive rankings and Brennan's recent hot streak could prove pivotal. This game could go either way, but the projections favor the Guardians to extend their successful season.

Game Trends

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 69 games (+17.02 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Final Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.67 vs Cleveland Guardians 4.72

Get daily MLB picks here.