Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds Pick – 9/1/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays will face the Cincinnati Reds in the opening game of a three-game series on Monday afternoon. These teams are both in playoff contention heading into September and will look for a key win to help their chances of playing October baseball today. Before first pitch from Cincinnati, continue reading to get my Blue Jays vs Reds prediction for Monday’s game.
Our Blue Jays vs Reds Pick
- Pick: Reds Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date & Time: Monday, September 1, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Chris Bassitt (TOR) vs Hunter Greene (CIN)
- Stadium: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: FDSOH, SNET
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Chris Bassitt (11–7, 4.14 ERA) takes the mound for the Blue Jays. He has been solid overall but his road ERA is a concerning 6.10. He will hope to avoid another poor performance away from home. Hunter Greene (5–4, 2.81 ERA) has been exceptional for the Reds this season. He has been especially strong at home. Greene’s 1.80 ERA in home games will make him a dangerous opponent for the Blue Jays lineup in this contest.
Playoff Picture
- Toronto Blue Jays: Toronto leads the AL East by three games over the New York Yankees coming into this Labor Day matchup in Cincinnati.
- Cincinnati Reds: The Reds are in fourth place in the National League Wild Card race. They are four games back of the New York Mets for the final spot in the postseason.
Recent Team Streaks
- Toronto Blue Jays: The Blue Jays ended a two-game losing streak with a win over the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday.
- Cincinnati Reds: The Reds snapped a five-game losing streak by beating the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday afternoon.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| George Springer | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Elly De La Cruz | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Chris Bassitt | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first game played between the Blue Jays and Reds this season.
- Cincinnati is 25-17 against interleague opponents so far this season.
- The Blue Jays are 28-17 in games against National League teams.
Blue Jays vs Reds Model Projection
- Score Projection: Reds 5 – Blue Jays 4
- Win Probability: Reds 51%, Blue Jays 49%
Final Thoughts
The Reds have the advantage in the starting pitching department going into this game. Hunter Greene has been phenomenal at home this year and that should help the Reds get the upper hand in this one. Chris Bassitt’s struggles on the road will only help the Reds further. I think that Cincinnati’s superior starting pitching in this game will make the difference. I’ll take Cincinnati to win this game as a slight favorite on the moneyline.
