Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Pick – 7/7/2025

The hottest team in baseball entering this week is the Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto enters their series opener against the Chicago White Sox on an eight-game winning streak and in first place in the AL East. Can they continue their winning ways against the team with the worst record in the American League? Find out below as I make my Blue Jays vs White Sox prediction for Monday night.

Our Blue Jays vs White Sox Pick

  • Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox
  • Date & Time: Monday, July 7, 2025, 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: José Berríos (TOR) vs Sean Burke (CWS)
  • Stadium: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
  • Broadcast: CHSN / SNET

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Toronto hands the ball to José Berríos, who enters with a 4‑3 record and a 3.64 ERA. Berríos gave up six earned runs in his last start against the New York Yankees, but was bailed out by his offense, which scored 11 runs in that game.

Chicago has Sean Burke on the bump, who has a 4‑7 record and 4.03 ERA. Burke pitched very well in his last start, giving up just one earned run in six innings to the defending champion Dodgers. But he didn’t get any help from his bullpen, and the White Sox lost that game 5-4.

Bullpen usage

Toronto’s bullpen has been solid, ranking 10th in the league in bullpen ERA. Chicago’s bullpen has an ERA of 4.02. That number isn’t great, but it certainly isn’t the worst thing the White Sox have going for them.

Recent team streaks

The Blue Jays arrive on an eight‑game winning streak and have opened up a three-game lead in the AL East over the Yankees and Rays. Meanwhile, the White Sox just took two out of three from the Colorado Rockies, but failed to secure a sweep on Sunday.

  • The White Sox hold a 2-1 lead in the season series between these teams. They took two out of three in Toronto in June.
  • Toronto has gone over the total in 56.3% of their games, ranking second to the Chicago Cubs in that category.
  • Both teams have been great at covering the runline in their games this year. Toronto is second in runline win percentage at 58.9% and Chicago is third at 55.6%.

Blue Jays vs White Sox Model Projection

Score Projection: Blue Jays 5 – White Sox 3

Win Probability: Blue Jays 57% • White Sox 43%

Final Thoughts

Picking either of these teams to cover the runline has been a solid bet throughout this season. But only one of them can cover the runline in this game, and I think that team will be the Blue Jays. Toronto has allowed three runs or less in three straight game,s and their pitching staff should shut the White Sox down in this series-opening game. I’ll lay the runline with the Jays and expect them to get their ninth win in a row.


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Home MLB Picks Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox Pick – 7/7/2025