Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction – 7/28/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays head into Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday for a game against the Baltimore Orioles. The Blue Jays have opened up a nice lead in the AL East this season. They will look to extend that lead against the team at the bottom of the AL East standings. Before the series begins in Baltimore, you can continue reading to get our Blue Jays vs Orioles prediction.
Our Blue Jays vs Orioles Pick
- Pick: Blue Jays moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date & Time: Monday, July 28, 2025, 6:35 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Chris Bassitt (TOR) vs Zach Eflin (BAL)
- Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcast: MASN and SNET
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
The Blue Jays hand the ball to Chris Bassitt for this game. He enters at 11–4 with a 3.88 ERA and 117 strikeouts. He has pitched well in recent starts against the San Francisco Giants and New York Yankees. He will look for another strong start to help the Jays move closer to a division title. Zach Eflin will start this game on the Baltimore side. He is 6–5 with a 5.78 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP in 67 innings. He has struggled to maintain consistency and is in danger of getting punished by an elite Toronto lineup in this contest.
Key Players
- George Springer leads Toronto with 18 home runs this season. He’s batting .293 and will be a threat to Eflin in the early stages of this game.
- Bo Bichette carries a .289 average and leads the Blue Jays with 65 RBI.
- Gunnar Henderson was an MVP candidate for the Orioles last season. While he isn’t in that race this year he is still an important bat for his team.
Recent Team Streaks
- Blue Jays are 8–2 in their last 10 games but lost their last game to the Detroit Tigers on Sunday.
- Orioles have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games and won two straight games against the Colorado Rockies coming into this matchup.
Best Player Props
| Player | Home Runs | Total Bases |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Over 0.5 | Over 1.5 |
| George Springer | Over 0.5 | Over 1.5 |
| Bo Bichette | Over 0.5 | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The regular-season series between these teams is tied 3-3 going into this game.
- The last two games between these teams have been one-run games.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Model Projection
Score Projection: Blue Jays 5 – Orioles 3
Win Probability: Blue Jays 55%, Orioles 45%
Final Thoughts
The Toronto Blue Jays are playing some of the best baseball in the league lately. They have a starting pitching advantage with Bassitt on the mound for this game against an inconsistent Zach Eflin. I’ll take the Jays to win this game on the road to set the tone in this series between division rivals.
