Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Pick – 7/30/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles are set to face off on Wednesday afternoon at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This matchup features the teams in first and last place in the AL East going at it. But it is the team in last place that has had the better of things so far in this series. Before the final game of this four-game series, continue reading to get my Blue Jays vs Orioles prediction for today’s game.
Our Blue Jays vs Orioles Pick
- Pick: Orioles Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles |
| Date & Time | July 30, 2025, 12:35 PM EDT |
| Starting Pitchers | Jose Berrios vs Dean Kremer |
| Stadium | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD |
| Broadcast | MASN, Sportsnet |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: This game will feature Jose Berrios on the mound for the Blue Jays and Dean Kremer for the Orioles. Berrios is 7-4 with a 3.83 ERA on the season. He has picked up wins in three of his last four starts but his 6.12 ERA in July leaves plenty of room for improvement. Kremer is 8-7 with a 4.23 ERA and will look to improve to 2-0 against the Jays this season with a win.
Bullpen Usage: Both bullpens had to work hard to get through yesterday’s doubleheader. The Blue Jays were put into an especially tough position after losing 16-4 in the first game of yesterday’s twin bill. The Orioles should be fresher in their pen today but neither team will be all that well-rested.
Team Momentum: The momentum in this series is firmly on the side of the Orioles. They swept yesterday’s doubleheader and have taken the first three games of this series. Toronto is still in first place in the AL East but will try to at least salvage this final game.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Bo Bichette | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Cedric Mullins | Stolen Bases | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
The Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last five games. They have lost four straight. The Orioles are 5-0 over their last five games.
Baltimore leads the season series 6-3 over the Blue Jays
Two of the three games in this series have gone over their respective totals.
Toronto has allowed 10 or more runs in three of their last four games.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Model Projection
Projected Score: Orioles 6 – Blue Jays 4
Win Probability: Orioles 55%, Blue Jays 45%
Final Thoughts
The Baltimore Orioles are playing better baseball than the Toronto Blue Jays right now. The Jays have certainly had the better season overall, but I can’t overlook what we’ve seen from these two teams over the last few days. I expect Kremer to continue to pitch better than Berrios has of late and for the Orioles to complete a surprising four-game sweep of their division rivals today.
