Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction – 8/17/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays have dominated their weekend series against the Texas Rangers so far. Toronto took a 2-0 lead in the series at home with a blowout win on Saturday and they will look to secure a sweep on Sunday afternoon. Before first pitch from Rogers Centre, continue reading to get my analysis for this game, including my Rangers vs Blue Jays prediction.
Our Rangers vs Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Rangers Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 17, 2025, 1:37 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi vs José Berríos
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: SNET and RSN
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Nathan Eovaldi enters with one of the elite ERAs in the league at 1.71. He has 114 strikeouts in 116 innings of work and his WHIP of 0.88 is proof that baserunners are just as hard to come by as runs when Eovaldi is on the bump. José Berríos will get the start for the Blue Jays. Berrios does not have the same numbers as Eovaldi but he shouldn’t be slept on this matchup either.
Key Players
- Toronto’s Myles Straw hit two home runs for the Blue Jays on Saturday. If role players like Straw can head up for the Blue Jays, I think they could very well win the American League pennant.
- The Rangers’ bullpen will be a key to this game. Texas gave up 14 runs as a team to the Jays on Saturday. Their arms could be spent but they will need to push through in this matchup.
Recent team streaks
- Texas has lost four straight games and will look to avoid the sweep at the hands of the Blue Jays.
- Toronto has won three games in a row and four of their last five outings.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
| José Berríos | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Corey Seager | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Toronto holds a 4-1 lead in their season series against Texas.
- The Jays have won the last three games between Texas and Toronto.
- Toronto has the best runline record in baseball this season at 73-51.
- Texas is 64-60 on the runline in 2025.
Rangers vs Blue Jays Model Projection
Score Projection: Texas Rangers 5 – Toronto Blue Jays 4
Win Probability: Rangers 55%, Blue Jays 45%
Final Thoughts
Toronto is playing much better baseball than the Texas Rangers lately. But they do not have Nathan Eovaldi on the mound and that should cost the Rangers in this contest. I will take the Rangers to win this game on the moneyline behind their ace. Texas will avoid the sweep and the Jays will not take advantage of the opportunity to extend their AL East lead beyond five games just yet.
