Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 8/16/2025
The Texas Rangers fell against the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday night. They will look for revenge on Saturday afternoon at Rogers Centre. Toronto has the best record in the American League and is flying high after Friday’s one-run win. Before the first pitch from Canada on Saturday, continue reading to get my Rangers vs Blue Jays for the second game of this three-game series.
Our Rangers vs Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 16, 2025, 3:07 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Patrick Corbin vs Eric Lauer
- Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: SNET and RSN
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Toronto sends Eric Lauer to the mound on Saturday. He has a tidy 2.82 ERA over 83 innings with a respectable 83 strikeouts. The Blue Jays will look to take advantage of having a solid starter on the mound in this game. Patrick Corbin has posted a 4.00 ERA with a 6-8 record. This pitching matchup creates a clear edge for Toronto.
Key Players
The Blue Jays score 4.8 runs per game on average. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the club in batting average and home runs and he will be important to his team’s success here. The Rangers produce 4.1 runs per game and bat just .232 as a unit. Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia form a nice one-two power punch and they will be the keys to Texas’ success.
Recent team streaks
- Toronto has won two straight games and four of their last five games.
- Texas has lost three straight games and they have lost four of their last five outings.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Eric Lauer | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Corey Seager | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Toronto has a 3-1 series lead over the Rangers in their 2025 season series.
- The under is 3-1 in games between the Rangers and Blue Jays after Friday’s game went over the total.
- The Blue Jays rank third in the league in runline win percentage.
Rangers vs Blue Jays Model Projection
Score Projection: Blue Jays 4 – Rangers 2
Win Probability: Blue Jays 59%, Rangers 41%
Final Thoughts
Everything is going the Blue Jays’ way going into this American League matchup. The Blue Jays are one of the hottest teams in baseball and they have a huge starting pitching advantage in this contest as well. The Blue Jays are 41-20 at home this season and I expect them to improve on that win rate here. I will lay the runline with the Blue Jays at a plus price as I expect the Jays to win with some margin for their third straight victory.
