Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 8/15/2025
The Texas Rangers and Toronto Blue Jays will open up a three-game series from Rogers Centre in Toronto on Friday night. The Blue Jays enter this game as the leaders in the AL East and will look to extend their advantage against a Rangers team that has been struggling of late. Before first pitch from Toronto, continue reading to get my Rangers vs Blue Jays prediction for tonight’s game.
Our Rangers vs Blue Jays Pick
- Pick: Toronto Blue Jays moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays
- Date & Time: Friday, August 15, 2025, 7:07 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Rangers – Jacob deGrom (10-5, 2.86 ERA)
- Blue Jays – Chris Bassitt (11-6, 4.17 ERA)
- Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto
- Broadcast: Apple TV+
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Jacob deGrom has pitched at an elite level this season. He has a 2.86 ERA, a 0.95 WHIP, and 143 strikeouts in 135.1 innings. He will have his hands full on the road against the team with the best record in the American League. But deGrom has proven he can handle tough spots in the past. Chris Bassitt will get the start for Toronto. He is more hittable than deGrom with a 4.17 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over 133.2 innings. But Bassitt is more than capable of delivering a quality outing and helping his team get a win tonight.
Playoff Picture
- The Rangers are 61-61 this season and 3.5 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot.
- Toronto leads the AL East standings by five games and are looking likely to make the postseason at this point in time.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Rangers have lost four of their last five games and are losing ground in the Wild Card chase.
- Toronto has won three of their last four games. They most recently beat the Chicago Cubs in two out of three games in their last series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Category | Prop |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Jacob deGrom | Strikeouts | Under 6.5 |
| Corey Seager | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Blue Jays lead the regular season series 2-1 over the Rangers going into Friday night.
- All three games of this series have gone under the total so far this year.
- Neither of these teams have scored more than two runs in a game against each other in 2025.
- Toronto has covered the runline 58.2% of the time this season. That is the third-best runline record in baseball.
Rangers vs Blue Jays Model Projection
- Score Projection: Rangers 3 – Blue Jays 4
- Win Probability: Rangers 44%, Blue Jays 56%
Final Thoughts
The pitching edge belongs to deGrom and the Rangers in this game. But Toronto’s recent form and home-field advantage should give the Blue Jays the advantage as a whole. I’ll take Toronto to continue their winning ways North of the border and for the Rangers to slip below the .500 mark for the season.
