Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction – 8/2/2025
The Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners will meet for the third day in a row on Saturday afternoon in the Pacific Northwest. The Mariners have dominated the current four-game series between these teams so far. They have taken the first two games at home and will look to continue to dominate the Rangers here. Continue reading to get my thoughts on this AL West matchup, including my Rangers vs Mariners prediction.
Our Rangers vs Mariners Pick
- Pick: Mariners Moneyline
- Confidence: 3 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 2, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Merrill Kelly (Rangers) vs. Luis Castillo (Mariners)
- Stadium: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: ROOT Sports Northwest and RSN
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Merrill Kelly is slated to make his Texas debut after being acquired in a trade from the Arizona Diamondbacks. He has posted a 9-6 record with a 3.22 ERA and 121 strikeouts this season. He will look to make a good first impression with his new team today. Luis Castillo has been a consistent force for the Mariners. Castillo has an 8-6 record and a 3.19 ERA and has delivered quality starts in each of his past four outings against Texas.
Key Players
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Seager has been a driving force in the Rangers’ offense. He is leading the team with 15 home runs this year.
- Adolis García (Rangers): García has contributed 15 home runs and 62 RBI. He provides power in the middle of the lineup.
- J.P. Crawford (Mariners): Crawford’s walk-off homer on Friday highlighted his clutch gene. He leads the Mariners with a .265 batting average.
- Cal Raleigh (Mariners): Raleigh leads the Mariners with 42 home runs and 88 RBI.
Recent Team Streaks
- Rangers: The Rangers have lost two straight games and four of their last five entering this contest.
- Mariners: Seattle has won two games in a row and the franchise is flying high after being aggressive at the trade deadline.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Corey Seager | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Adolis García | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| J.P. Crawford | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Cal Raleigh | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Mariners lead the season series between these teams by a 9-2 margin.
- Seattle has won three straight meetings with the Rangers going into this game.
- The Mariners have allowed three total runs to the Rangers through the first two games of this series.
Rangers vs Mariners Model Projection
- Score Projection: Mariners 5, Rangers 4
- Win Probability: Mariners 52%, Rangers 48%
Final Thoughts
I think we could see some growing pains for Merrill Kelly in his first start as a member of the Rangers in this game. I also think that the Mariners will get another strong showing from Castillo in this game. Look for the Mariners to get the better of the Rangers for the third straight time in this series and the fourth straight time overall.
