Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction – 8/1/2025
AL West rivals will collide on Friday night when the Texas Rangers face the Seattle Mariners in the Pacific Northwest. The Mariners dominated the first game of this four-game series on Thursday and will look for a similar result tonight. Before the Rangers and Mariners lock horns at T-Mobile Park, continue reading to get my Rangers vs Mariners prediction.
Our Rangers vs Mariners Pick
- Pick: Mariners -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers |
| Date & Time | August 1, 2025, 10:10 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Jack Leiter vs. Logan Gilbert |
| Stadium | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA |
| Broadcast | MLB.tv |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: Jack Leiter will get the start for Texas in this contest. Leiter is 7-6 and has a 4.09 ERA on the year. Leiter will go up against Logan Gilbert. Gilbert is 3-4 and has a 3.36 ERA. He will look to put together a similar performance to what we saw from George Kirby yesterday. Kirby led the Mariners to a shutout win over Texas on Thursday night.
Bullpen Usage: The Mariners’ bullpen looked great last night. They finished out a shutout win against the Rangers and did a good job of staying out of trouble for the most part in that game. Texas has the better bullpen ERA, but both of these pens have plenty of quality.
Team Momentum: The Mariners snapped a two-game losing streak with their win over the Rangers last night. Texas has struggled lately. They have dropped three of their last four games and will need to turn things around on the mound to end their run of poor play.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Jack Leiter | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 |
| Julio Rodríguez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The Mariners lead the season series 8-2 over the Rangers so far this season.
- Seattle has won two straight games over the Rangers in their season series.
- The Rangers are 39-37 in night games this year. The Mariners are 34-36 at night.
- Texas has allowed 5+ runs in three of their last four games.
Rangers vs Mariners Model Projection
Projected Score: Mariners 5 – Rangers 3
Win Probability: Mariners 55% | Rangers 45%
Final Thoughts
The Mariners added some pop to their lineup at the deadline by bringing Eugenio Suarez back onto their team. He should pair nicely with Cal Raleigh and create a great one-two power punch for the Mariners moving forward. I think we see both of those players make an impact in this game as the Mariners should earn a convincing win over the Rangers tonight.
