Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction – 7/5/2025

The Texas Rangers and San Diego Padres will meet at PETCO Park on Saturday night. San Diego won the first game of this series on Friday night, walking off with a win in the 10th inning. Here, I break down this interleague rematch and make my Rangers vs Padres prediction for tonight’s matchup.

Our Padres vs Rangers Pick

  • Pick: Padres moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
  • Bonus Bets For the Game: Use BetMGM promo code ATSBONUS to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses!

Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
✓ Any Sport Odds Boosts
✓ Free to Play MLB Game
✓ Easy Parlay Builder
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Claim Bonus
Promo Code: ATSBONUS
✓ Any Sport Odds Boosts
✓ Free to Play MLB Game
✓ Easy Parlay Builder
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Claim Bonus
Promo Code: ATSBONUS
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers
  • Date & Time: Saturday, July 5, 2025 – 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Stephen Kolek (SD) vs Patrick Corbin (TEX)
  • Stadium: PETCO Park, San Diego, CA
  • Broadcast: MLB Network, SDPA, RSN

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Stephen Kolek is 3-3 so far this season and his 3.73 ERA is solid. He will go up against Texas’ Patrick Corbin, who is 4-7 with a 4.26 ERA. Corbin has allowed three earned runs or more in four straight starts and his struggles could pose problems for the Rangers as they look to even up this series tonight.

Bullpen usage

Both teams had to pitch into extra innings last night. But the fact that the game was decided in the 10th shouldn’t mean much additional damage on either side. Both teams rank in the top five in the league in bullpen ERA and will attempt to get an edge with their relievers tonight.

Recent team streaks

  • Padres have won two of their last three and are 26-14 at home.
  • Rangers had a two-game winning streak snapped last night and they are 17-26 on the road.

Best Player Props

PlayerPropProjection
Manny Machado (SD)Home Runs0.6
Patrick Corbin (TEX)Strikeouts5.8
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD)Total Bases1.2
  • Padres are 27-17 as moneyline favorites this season.
  • Rangers are 13-30 as underdogs in 2025.
  • Texas has MLB’s worst runline record this season at 31-56-1.
  • H2H: San Diego edged Texas 3–2 in 10 innings on Friday in their first meeting of the season.

San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers Model Projection

Score Projection: San Diego 5 – Texas 4

Win Probability: San Diego 55%, Texas 45%

Final Thoughts

Both teams are going to need to do their scoring early in this game to avoid facing pressure against elite bullpens. I think we’ll see the Padres do a better job of that, as their offense at home has been very good this year. I recommend taking the Padres on the mouneyline in this game, as Corbin’s tendency to give up hits in bunches is a concern.


Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.

̈́

Related Articles

Leave a Comment

Home MLB Picks Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction – 7/5/2025