Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals Pick – 8/19/2025
The Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals are set to face off in the second game of a four-game series on Tuesday night. Both teams are vying for a Wild Card spot in the American League and the Royals drew first blood in this series on Monday. Kansas City will look to stay hot at home in this contest. Find out if I think that will happen below, as I make my Rangers vs Royals prediction for Tuesday.
Our Rangers vs Royals Pick
- Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 19, 2025, 7:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Merrill Kelly (Rangers) vs Seth Lugo (Royals)
- Stadium: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
Key Storylines
- Pitching Matchup: Merrill Kelly is 9-7 with a 3.36 ERA and takes the mound for the Rangers. Kelly has a 4.50 ERA since coming to the Rangers in a trade from the Arizona Diamondbacks. Seth Lugo is 8-6 with a 3.77 ERA and he will get the start for the Royals. Lugo has been lit up like a Christmas tree in his last two starts. He has allowed 13 runs in eight innings in his last two outings and will try to bounce back here.
- Injuries Impacting Offense: The Rangers are dealing with significant injuries to key hitters. Adolis García is the team’s leader in RBI and is out with an ankle injury. Jake Burger is also questionable due to a wrist issue. These absences could further hinder an offense that is already ranked 24th in the league in runs scored per game.
- Royals’ Recent Form: Kansas City has been on a hot streak. They have won four of their last five games. Their offense has been more productive and their pitching staff ranks third in the league in runs allowed per game. They are looking for a fifth straight victory on Tuesday night.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Corey Seager | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Merrill Kelly | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Seth Lugo | Over 4.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Royals are 4-0 against the Rangers so far this season.
- Texas fell to 25-38 on the road this season after their loss on Monday.
- Kansas City is 34-29 at home on the year.
Rangers vs Royals Model Projection
- Score Projection: Rangers 4 – Royals 5
- Win Probability: Rangers 48%, Royals 52%
Final Thoughts
The Kansas City Royals are on fire of late and I expect them to continue their winning ways here. We should see Seth Lugo perform better than he has over his last couple of starts. I’ll take the Royals to win on the moneyline and inch closer to one of the three Wild Card spots in the American League.
