Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction – 7/12/2025

Aces will duel when the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros play in AL West competition on Saturday night. Jacob deGrom and Framber Valdez are two of the best starting pitchers in the league. But only one of them will lead their team to a win in this contest at Daikin Park in Houston. Continue reading to get my Rangers vs Astros prediction for Saturday.

Our Rangers vs Astros Pick

• Pick: Texas Rangers Moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros
• Date & Time: Saturday, July 12, 2025 at 7:35 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs Framber Valdez
• Stadium: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
• Broadcast: FOX

Key Storylines

• Pitching form: Jacob deGrom is 9-2 with a 2.29 ERA on the season. Framber Valdez owns a stellar 2.90 ERA and is 10-4 on the season. The starting pitcher who has the better outing in this game will give their team a huge leg up in an otherwise evenly matched game.
• Bullpen usage: Both of these bullpens are among the best in baseball. The Astros rank third in the league in bullpen ERA and Texas ranks fourth. It will take moments of individual brilliance from the hitters in this game to push runs across against the relief pitchers as well as the starters.
• Recent team streaks: The Astros have dropped four straight games after losing the first game of this series. The Rangers have won two in a row and are a game away from the .500 mark for the season.
• Head-to-Head: The Rangers have a 3-2 lead in the season series after their win over the Astros on Friday.

Best Player Props

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Model Projection

Score Projection: Texas Rangers 4 – Houston Astros 3

Win Probability: Texas Rangers 52%, Houston Astros 48%

Final Thoughts

I can’t anticipate anything other than a low-scoring game in this matchup between the Rangers and Astros. Both starting pitchers are great and the bullpens on both sides are performing well. This game will come down to timely hitting and I think the Rangers have the edge in that department by a slim margin. I’ll go with Texas to win a second straight against Houston and to get back to .500 on the year.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.