Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox Pick – 5/24/2025

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the Texas Rangers on May 24, 2025, both teams are struggling to find their footing this season. The White Sox, with a record of 16-35, sit at the bottom of the American League standings, while the Rangers are hovering just above, holding a 25-27 record. Last night, the White Sox beat the Rangers and will look to do it again here.

On the mound, Jonathan Cannon will take the ball for the White Sox, looking to improve his 2-5 record. Despite being ranked as the 193rd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, Cannon's ERA of 3.76 indicates he has been somewhat fortunate this year, with projections suggesting he may struggle moving forward. Cannon's ability to limit earned runs will be crucial, especially considering he projects to allow an average of 2.9 earned runs today.

Opposing him will be Jack Leiter, who has also had his challenges this season. With a 4.25 ERA and a SIERA of 4.82, Leiter has shown signs of inconsistency. He projects to pitch only 4.9 innings today, which is below average, and his tendency to allow hard contact could be problematic against a struggling White Sox offense that ranks 30th in MLB in batting average.

The projections favor the Rangers, who have a higher implied team total of 4.53 runs compared to the White Sox's 3.47 runs. This matchup presents an opportunity for the White Sox to turn their fortunes around, but they will need a strong performance from Cannon and a boost from their offense to do so.

Quick Takes Texas Rangers:

Out of all SPs, Jack Leiter's fastball velocity of 96.8 mph grades out in the 98th percentile this year.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Marcus Semien has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

The Texas Rangers have been the unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward

• When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

Jonathan Cannon is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #7 HR venue in the majors in this game.

• This pitcher's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Lenyn Sosa's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 90.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.7-mph over the past week.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox' bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in the game.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.45 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+14.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Sam Haggerty has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)

Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Texas Rangers 4.94, Chicago White Sox 4.46

• Date: May 24, 2025
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jack Leiter - Rangers
  • Jonathan Cannon - White Sox

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