Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Pick – 8/10/2025
The Seattle Mariners have won the first two games of their three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays this weekend. Seattle will look to complete the sweep and greatly help their AL Wild Card chances. But to do that they will need to generate offense against a very good opposing pitcher. Here, I break down the pitching matchup and everything else you need to know in my Rays vs Mariners prediction for Sunday.
Our Rays vs Mariners Pick
- Pick: Under 7.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 10, 2025, 4:10 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Adrian Houser vs. Bryan Woo
- Stadium: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: ROOT Sports Northwest, FanDuel Sports Network Sun
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
- Adrian Houser (Rays): The Rays’ right-hander has a 6–3 record with a 2.54 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. Houser has done a phenomenal job of keeping the ball in the yard. He has allowed just four home runs this season.
- Bryan Woo (Mariners): Seattle’s Bryan Woo enters this game with a 9–6 record and a 3.02 ERA. He gives up a lot of home runs but does a good job of keeping the basepaths clear so that those home runs don’t hurt all that much.
Key Players
- Junior Caminero (Rays): The third baseman has been a standout performer for the Rays. He is leading the team with 32 home runs and 80 RBI.
- Cal Raleigh (Mariners): Raleigh continues his MVP-caliber season with 44 home runs and 96 RBI.
- Jonathan Aranda (Rays): Aranda has a .316 batting average and a .394 on-base percentage. He will look to get Woo into some jams by reaching base in this game.
- Eugenio Suarez (Mariners): Suarez is also a dangerous power bat. He is also a great addition to help protect Raleigh in the Seattle lineup.
Recent Team Streaks
- Tampa has dropped two games in a row and are 2-3 in their last five games.
- The Mariners have won six straight games coming into this contest. They are just a half-game back of the Astros for the top spot in the AL West entering Sunday’s action.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Junior Caminero | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Adrian Houser | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Bryan Woo | Over 6.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Seattle is 2-0 against the Rays so far this season.
- The over/under is 1-1 in the two games these teams have played against each other.
Rays vs Mariners Model Projection
- Score Projection: Rays 3 – Mariners 4
- Win Probability: Rays 40%, Mariners 60%
Final Thoughts
Both starting pitchers in this game are very good. Because of that, I think we get a low-scoring game in the Pacific Northwest this afternoon. I will take the under in this game, with the expectation that Houser and Woo both perform well. While I lean toward the Mariners winning the game and completing the sweep, I think the under is a much better bet.
