Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Pick – 7/30/2025
The New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays will play in the third game of a four-game series on Wednesday night. These American League East rivals split the first two games of this series. They will look to gain the upper hand against one another going into Thursday’s final game with a victory tonight. Before first pitch from the Bronx, I have broken down this matchup and you can scroll down to get my Rays vs Yankees prediction for the night.
Our Rays vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Yankees Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays |
| Date & Time | July 30, 2025, 7:05 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Will Warren vs Zack Littell |
| Stadium | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Broadcast | MLB Network, Prime Video |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: The Yankees will hand the ball to Will Warren in this game. Warren is 6-5 with a 4.82 ERA. He has issued 50 walks this season and will not be able to afford to give away so many free bases in this contest. Warren will be opposed by Zack Littell of the Rays. Littell is 8-8 and has a 3.72 ERA. He got tagged for five runs in six innings by the Cincinnati Reds in his last start.
Bullpen Usage: The Yankees’ bullpen is the key to this game. They wasted a good start from Warren in his last outing by surrendering 10 runs in relief against the Phillies. New York can’t afford a similar showing from its bullpen tonight.
Team Momentum: The Yankees have won two of their last three games. Tampa has been struggling with four losses in their last five outings.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Will Warren | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
The Yankees lead the season series 5-4 over the Rays.
Tampa is 31-35 in night games this year. The Yankees are 35-31 at night.
The Yankees enter the day four games back of the Toronto Blue Jays for first place in the AL East. Tampa Bay is 8.5 games behind the Jays.
Rays vs Yankees Model Projection
Projected Score: Yankees 5 – Rays 3
Win Probability: Yankees 62%, Rays 38%
Final Thoughts
The Rays are struggling lately and I expect those struggles to continue tonight. I like what I’ve seen from Will Warren lately. As long as the bullpen doesn’t completely sell him out in this game, the Yankees should be able to get another win here. Even without Aaron Judge, I think the Yankees have enough firepower to get through this matchup with a second straight W.
