Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Pick – 7/29/2025
The New York Yankees are set to host the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday night. The Rays won the opening game of this series in the Bronx and will look to win a second straight game over their division rivals. Here, I break down this AL East matchup from all angles and give you my Rays vs Yankees prediction for Tuesday’s game.
Our Rays vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Yankees Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees |
| Date & Time | July 29, 2025, 7:05 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Joe Boyle vs Max Fried |
| Stadium | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Broadcast | TBS |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: The Yankees’ starter for this game will be Max Fried. Fried is 11-4 with a 2.62 ERA in 2025. He has been even more valuable than his numbers suggest thanks to Gerrit Cole’s absence in the Yankees rotation. Fried will be opposed by Joe Boyle. Boyle is 1-0 and has a 1.42 ERA in a small sample size for the Rays.
Bullpen Usage: Neither team has a significant bullpen advantage in this game. The Rays are slightly better in terms of their bullpen ERA but things could go either way if they come down to the bullpens.
Team Momentum: The Yankees have struggled lately. They have dropped four of their last five games. Tampa has also lost four out of five but did manage to pick up a much-needed win over the Yankees to start this series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Jonathan Aranda | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Max Fried | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The Rays and Yankees have split their season series 4-4 this year.
- The Rays have struggled offensively of late. They have scored four runs or fewer in four straight games.
- New York is 31-22 at home this season despite losing at home last night.
Rays vs Yankees Model Projection
Projected Score: Yankees 5 – Rays 3
Win Probability: Yankees 65% | Rays 35%
Final Thoughts
I am going to go with the Yankees to win this contest against the Rays on Tuesday night. The Yankees have a starting pitching edge with Fried throwing in this contest. That should help them to bounce back after what has been a rough stretch for New York’s American League team.
