Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction – 7/6/2025

On Sunday, July 6, the Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins will face off in the third game of their weekend series. The Twins have won the first two games of this three-game set and will look to win what is shaping up to be a pitcher’s duel in the Midwest. Here’s a detailed preview of Sunday’s game between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Minnesota Twins, featuring updated stats, betting lines, and my Rays vs Twins prediction.

Our Rays vs Twins Pick

• Pick: Under 8 total runs
• Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins
• Date & Time: Sunday, July 6, 2025, 2:10 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Drew Rasmussen (7‑5, 2.78 ERA) vs Joe Ryan (8‑4, 2.75 ERA)
• Stadium: Target Field, Minneapolis
• Broadcast: MNNT, FDS‑SUN

Key Storylines

Pitching Form

• Joe Ryan has been solid this year. He is 8-4, with a 2.75 ERA. Ryan averages 9.9 K/9 and his ability to generate swings and misses could be key in a series that has featured back-to-back one-run games.
• Drew Rasmussen has also been very good, with a 7-5 record and a 2.78 ERA. His last was shaky, pitching three innings and allowing four runs against the Athletics. He will look to rebound from that performance here.

Bullpen Usage

Statistically, the Rays have had a better bullpen than the Twins this year. But the Twins’ bullpen has done enough to get them wins in each of the first two games of this series.

Recent Team Streaks

• Rays: On a two‑game losing skid, the Rays have lost four of their last five games entering today.
• Twins: Minnesota has won two games in a row and three of their last four.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• The Twins now lead the season series between these teams 3-2 after taking the first two games of this series. This is the final game these teams will play this regular season.
• Both teams have gone under the total in over 55% of their games this season.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Model Projection

Final Thoughts

I’m expecting a tight, low-scoring game from Minnesota today. Both starting pitchers in this game are excellent and should limit early scoring chances. While the outcome of the game itself could go either way in my opinion, I think that the best bet for this contest has to be the under, as the starting pitching matchup just screams that we’re going to get under eight runs.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.