Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction – 7/5/2025

The Tampa Bay Rays (48-40) travel to Target Field to face the Minnesota Twins (42-46) on Saturday, July 5, 2025, at 2:10 p.m. ET. Rays right-hander Taj Bradley (5-6, 4.79 ERA, 79 Ks in 92 IP) gets the start, while the Twins have yet to announce their starter. Here, we break down this American League matchup and I give you my Rays vs Twins prediction for Saturday afternoon.

Our Rays vs Twins Pick

• Pick: Tampa Bay Rays moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays @ Minnesota Twins
• Date & Time: Saturday, July 5, 2025 – 2:10 p.m. ET
• Starting Pitchers: Rays: Taj Bradley (RHP, 5-6, 4.79 ERA), Twins: TBA
• Stadium: Target Field, Minneapolis
• Broadcast: MNNT + FDS‑SUN

Key Storylines

• Bradley’s bounce‑back potential: Taj Bradley has a 4.79 ERA across 92 innings. His last outing saw him allow five earned runs in 5.1 innings vs Baltimore and he will look for a rebound performance in this game.
• Twins starter unknown: Minnesota has not announced its starter, leaving us uncertain of match‑up details. It will be interesting to see if they go with an opener out of the bullpen or settle on a spot starter for the game.
• Home/road splits: The Rays are 20-15 on the road, while the Twins are 23-17 at home. With both teams having winning records in their respective situations going into this game, we could see the best that both teams have to offer here.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• Rays have won 29 of 51 games as favorites this season.
• Twins are 12-21 as ML underdogs this year.
• These teams have split their first four meetings in 2025.
• Recent series opener: The Twins defeated the Rays 4-3 on Friday.

Rays vs Twins Model Projection

Score Projection: Rays 5 – Twins 4

Win Probability: Rays 54%, Twins 46%

Final Thoughts

Taj Bradley’s ability to miss bats is a key plus against a Twins lineup that hasn’t put up five runs in any of its last five games. With Minnesota’s starter not yet known, the advantage favors Tampa’s rotation and potent offense. Caminero (21 homers), Yandy Diaz, and Brandon Lowe provide pop across the order. I’m going to take the Rays on the moneyline in this game, as I anticipate them having the starting pitching edge and enough dangerous bats to take advantage of it.

Pick: Back the Tampa Bay Rays on the moneyline with confidence.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.