Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction – 7/27/2025
The Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds will conclude their three-game series at Great American Ball Park on Sunday. The Reds lead the series 2-0 after grabbing victories on Saturday and Sunday. Will they complete a sweep or will the Rays salvage a game? Continue reading to get my Rays vs Reds prediction for this contest.
Our Rays vs Reds Pick
- Pick: Reds Moneyline
- Confidence: 4 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 27, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Shane Baz (Rays) vs Brady Singer (Reds)
- Stadium: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: FDSOH and FDSSUN
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Shane Baz is 8-6 with a 4.66 ERA this season. He takes the mound for the Rays today. He has a strong strikeout rate but has struggled with his consistency at times. His recent outings include a loss to the lowly White Sox in his last start. Brady Singer is 7-8 with a 4.75 ERA for the Reds. Both pitchers have shown vulnerabilities but Singer’s recent form gives him a slight edge in this matchup.
Key Players
- Junior Caminero (Rays): Caminero leads the team with 26 home runs and 68 RBIs. He provides the offensive spark for Tampa Bay.
- Jonathan Aranda (Rays): Aranda boasts a .315 batting average and .474 slugging percentage. He leads the team in batting average.
- Elly De La Cruz (Reds): De La Cruz is hitting .285 with 18 home runs and 67 RBIs. He leads the Reds in all three of those categories.
Recent Team Streaks
- Rays: Tampa has lost four of their last five games.
- Reds: The Reds enter today on a three-game winning streak.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Elly De La Cruz | Over 0.5 Steals |
| Brady Singer | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Reds lead the season series between these teams 2-0.
- This is the final game scheduled between these teams for the regular season.
- The Rays have been held to two runs in each of the first two games of this series.
Rays vs Reds Model Projection
- Score Projection: Rays 4 – Reds 5
- Win Probability: Rays 49%, Reds 51%
Final Thoughts
The pitching matchup between these teams is about even. But the Rays offense has been struggling mightily of late. I expect Singer to outperform Baz thanks to the Rays’ struggles at the plate. Cincinnati should be able to secure the sweep in this matchup and the Reds should extend their winning streak to four games in a row.
