Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox Pick – 9/9/2025
The Tampa Bay Rays and Chicago White Sox will face off at Rate Field in Chicago on Tuesday night. Tampa comes into this game on a losing streak and their Wild Card hopes are starting to slip away. They will try to turn things around against a White Sox team that is playing well of late despite their season-long struggles. Here, I break down this American League matchup and bring you my Rays vs White Sox prediction.
Our Rays vs White Sox Pick
- Pick: Rays -1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
- Get Your Bonus Bets: Use BetMGM promo code ATSBONUS to get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet doesn’t win!
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox
- Date & Time: Tuesday, September 9, 2025, 7:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Adrian Houser vs Yoendrys Gómez
- Stadium: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
- The Rays are 4.5 games back of the final AL Wild Card spot thanks to a recent losing streak. They can’t afford to fumble opportunities like this one against the White Sox.
- The White Sox are playing some better baseball of late. They won their last series against the AL Central leading Detroit Tigers and will try to build on their recent success in this matchup.
- Junior Caminero is having a great season for the Rays. He has eclipsed the 40 home run mark and has over 100 RBI. He will try to help his team turn things around in this matchup from the Midwest.
Pitching matchup
- Adrian Houser, Rays: Houser enters this game with an 8-4 record and a 3.01 ERA across 17 starts in 2025. He has stabilized Tampa Bay’s rotation since arriving from the White Sox. He is facing his former team in this game and it will be interesting to see how he performs in that unique situation.
- Yoendrys Gómez, White Sox: Gomez is 3-2 and has a 4.79 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. He has shown bat-missing ability but excessive baserunners from walks and hits remain an issue as he continues to gain valuable experience.
Recent team streaks
- The Rays have lost three games in a row coming into this series opener with Chicago.
- The White Sox have won four of their last five games coming into this home game.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | To hit a HR |
| Miguel Vargas | Over 1.5 total bases |
| Adrian Houser | Over 4.5 strikeouts |
| Yoendrys Gómez | Under 4.5 strikeouts |
| Yandy Díaz | Over 1.5 total bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Chicago has won two of the three games between these games this season.
- These teams averaged just over 12 total runs per game against each other in their first series of the season.
Rays vs White Sox Model Projection
Score Projection: Rays 5 – White Sox 3
Win Probability: Rays 61%, White Sox 39%
Final Thoughts
We should see Adrian Houser pitch well against his former team in this matchup from Chicago. The Rays should be able to get a much-needed win tonight against one of the worst teams in baseball. I’ll take the Rays to win this game and cover the runline behind a starting pitcher who has a high level of familiarity with the bats of the White Sox.
