Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Pick – 7/11/2025

The Tampa Bay Rays head into Fenway Park on Friday to face the Boston Red Sox. Tampa dropped the opening game of this series and will look to bounce back here. But they are facing a surging Sox team that has won three out of four against the Rays this year. Continue reading to get my Rays vs Red Sox prediction for Friday night.

Our Rays vs Red Sox Pick

  • Pick: Red Sox moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Rays at Red Sox
  • Date & Time: Friday, July 11, 2025, 7:10 pm ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Drew Rasmussen vs Hunter Dobbins
  • Stadium: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
  • Broadcast: NESN

Key Storylines

  1. Pitching form: Drew Rasmussen gives the Rays the starting pitching edge in this game. He is 7-5 with a 2.82 ERA on the year. But Hunter Dobbins of the Red Sox is no slouch either. He is 4-1 with a 4.40 ERA.
  2. Recent team streaks: The Rays have dropped three of their last four games. Boston’s winning streak is up to seven games entering this contest.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Jarren Duran2+ Hits
Drew RasmussenUnder 4.5 Strikeouts

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Model Projection

Score Projection: Rays 4 – Red Sox 6

Win Probability: Rays 42% | Red Sox 58%

Final Thoughts

Drew Rasmussen is admittedly scary to bet against for the Rays. But the Red Sox are playing some of the best baseball in the American League right now. They scored a combined 29 runs in three games against the lowly Rockies and should take care of business here as well. Look for Boston to notch another victory as they aim to push further into the Wild Card race before the All-Star break.


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Home MLB Picks Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Pick – 7/11/2025