Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics Pick – 8/11/2025
The Tampa Bay Rays will face the Athletics in Sacramento on Monday night. These teams are both below .500 on the season and will look to get a much-needed win in this game. Here, I break down this game in the betting markets and bring you my Rays vs Athletics prediction before these American League opponents face off.
Our Rays vs Athletics Pick
- Pick: Athletics to win
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics
- Date & Time: Monday, August 11, 2025, 10:05 PM EDT
- Starting Pitchers: Ryan Pepiot (Rays) vs Jeffrey Springs (Athletics)
- Stadium: Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA
- Broadcast: NBCS-CA and FDSSUN
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Ryan Pepiot (7-9, 3.77 ERA) takes the mound for the Rays. He has 134 strikeouts and a 1.18 WHIP this season. Pepiot has been effective against the Athletics. He has a 2-0 record with a 3.06 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP in three career starts against them. But his recent outings have been inconsistent and that could be a concern against a resilient Athletics lineup.
Jeffrey Springs (10-7, 3.89 ERA) gets the start for the Athletics. Springs has been a reliable starter for the A’s. He has a 1.13 WHIP and 107 strikeouts this season. He has posted a 3.30 ERA over 18 games. Springs’ experience and recent form could give the Athletics an edge in this matchup.
Key Players
- Junior Caminero (Rays): Caminero has shown the ability to make an impact at the plate. His performance could be pivotal in providing offensive support for the Rays.
- Nick Kurtz (Athletics): Kurtz has been a consistent contributor for the Athletics with his power at the plate.
Recent Team Streaks
- Rays: The Rays have struggled recently. They have lost three games in a row going into this matchup.
- Athletics: The Athletics have won two games in a row and three of their last four games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Junior Caminero | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Nick Kurtz | Over 1.5 Hits |
| Nick Kurtz | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Athletics are 2-1 against the Rays so far this year.
- The over is 2-1 in the games played between these teams so far this year.
Rays vs Athletics Model Projection
- Score Projection: Athletics 6 – Rays 5
- Win Probability: Athletics 50%, Rays 50%
Final Thoughts
This matchup should be a close one between two teams striving to improve their records. The Athletics’ recent form and home-field advantage give them a slight edge. I will back the Athletics to get the win in this contest behind a strong start from Springs.
