Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels Pick For 4/10/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels Overview

• Date: April 10, 2024
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Zack Littell - Rays
  • Jose Soriano - Angels
• Run Line: Rays -1.5 120, Angels 1.5 -145
• Money Line: Rays -135, Angels 115
• Total (Over/Under):9 -110

Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Tampa Bay Rays - 55%
• Los Angeles Angels - 45%

Projected Win %:

• Tampa Bay Rays - 43.97%
• Los Angeles Angels - 56.03%

Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels Game Preview & Prediction

On April 10, 2024, the Los Angeles Angels will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays at Angel Stadium in a thrilling American League matchup. The Angels, with a record of 6-4, are having a great season so far, while the Rays, with a record of 5-6, are struggling to find their rhythm.

The Angels will be the home team for this game, playing in front of their home crowd at Angel Stadium. They have the advantage of their home field, which could give them an extra boost in their performance.

The Angels are projected to start right-handed pitcher Jose Soriano, who has yet to start a game this season but has made two appearances out of the bullpen. Soriano has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 4.50, which is considered average. However, his 5.37 xFIP suggests that he has been lucky so far and may not perform as well in the future.

On the other side, the Rays are projected to start right-handed pitcher Zack Littell. Littell has started two games this season, with a record of 1-0 and an impressive ERA of 0.82. However, his 3.15 xFIP indicates that he may have been fortunate in his performances and could regress in the future.

In terms of offense, the Angels rank 16th in MLB this season, while the Rays rank 17th. The Angels have displayed power, ranking 3rd in team home runs, but have struggled with stolen bases, ranking 27th. The Rays, on the other hand, have excelled in team batting average, ranking 9th, and stolen bases, ranking 2nd.

Both teams have some strengths and weaknesses that could come into play in this matchup. Soriano's high groundball rate could neutralize the Rays' power-hitting lineup, while Littell's high strikeout rate could pose a challenge for the Angels' strikeout-prone offense. However, Littell's tendency to give up flyballs could play into the Angels' power-hitting style.

According to the current odds, the Rays are favored to win with an implied win probability of 54%, while the Angels have an implied win probability of 46%. The game total is set at 9.0 runs, indicating a potentially high-scoring game.

Quick Takes Tampa Bay Rays:

Zack Littell has been given less of a leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 9.8 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

• Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.

Harold Ramirez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Jose Soriano will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 7 opposing hitters today.

• Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Projected catcher Logan O'Hoppe projects as a horrible pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Final Score Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays 4.49 vs Los Angeles Angels 4.82

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