St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals

May 14, 2025

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 Prediction – 5/14/2025

As the Philadelphia Phillies host the St. Louis Cardinals on May 14, 2025, both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the tightly contested National League. The Phillies, with a record of 24-17, are enjoying a strong season, while the Cardinals sit just behind at 23-19, having performed above average. This matchup is particularly significant as it’s the first game of a doubleheader between these teams after their game on Tuesday was postponed.

Jesus Luzardo takes the mound for Philadelphia, boasting an impressive 3-0 record and an excellent ERA of 2.11. He’s been a striking force this season, projecting to strike out 6.3 batters on average today. However, he faces a Cardinals lineup that ranks 5th in the league for fewest strikeouts, which could somewhat mitigate Luzardo’s high-strikeout potential. Meanwhile, Erick Fedde, who has a solid 3.86 ERA, is projected to allow 3.1 earned runs today and struggles with control, which could play into the hands of the Phillies’ patient offense that ranks 6th in walks.

Offensively, the Phillies rank 10th overall in the league and 7th in batting average, showcasing their ability to put runs on the board. The Cardinals, while strong at 9th overall in offense, have seen their power numbers lag, ranked 19th in home runs this season.

With the Phillies favored with a moneyline of -175, they are positioned for a favorable outcome today against a Cardinals team experiencing some inconsistencies. As Luzardo looks to continue his strong form, the projections suggest that Philadelphia's offensive depth could give them the edge in what promises to be an intriguing matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4.52, Philadelphia Phillies 5.02

  • Date: May 14, 2025
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Erick Fedde - Cardinals
    • Jesus Luzardo - Phillies

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+154
0% STL
-185
0% PHI

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-110
53% UN
8.5/-110
47% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-135
0% STL
-1.5/+114
0% PHI

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
STL
Team Stats
PHI
4.59
ERA
3.95
.268
Batting Avg Against
.238
1.43
WHIP
1.24
.322
BABIP
.290
8.3%
BB%
7.8%
20.4%
K%
23.8%
69.8%
LOB%
72.2%
.259
Batting Avg
.255
.436
SLG
.419
.770
OPS
.742
.333
OBP
.323
STL
Team Records
PHI
15-6
Home
13-7
8-13
Road
11-10
18-13
vRHP
21-10
5-6
vLHP
3-7
10-10
vs>.500
11-12
13-9
vs<.500
13-5
9-1
Last10
7-3
14-6
Last20
11-9
18-12
Last30
16-14
E. Fedde
J. Luzardo
N/A
Innings
N/A
N/A
GS
N/A
N/A
W-L
N/A
N/A
ERA
N/A
N/A
K/9
N/A
N/A
BB/9
N/A
N/A
HR/9
N/A
N/A
LOB%
N/A
N/A
HR/FB%
N/A
N/A
FIP
N/A
N/A
xFIP
N/A

E. Fedde

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/3 COL
Marquez N/A
W10-2 N/A
7
6
1
1
3
2
66-102
4/27 MIA
Lopez N/A
L1-2 N/A
4.2
3
2
2
5
3
55-91
4/20 ARI
Kelly N/A
L2-11 N/A
3.1
8
7
6
3
1
55-80
4/15 PIT
Keller N/A
W7-2 N/A
5
4
2
2
6
2
59-96
4/10 NYM
Carrasco N/A
W4-2 N/A
5
5
2
2
5
2
54-87

J. Luzardo

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
STL PHI
STL PHI
Consensus
+130
-152
+157
-186
+136
-162
+154
-185
+146
-174
+164
-196
+163
-195
+163
-195
Open
Current
Book
STL PHI
STL PHI
Consensus
+1.5 (-138)
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-138)
-1.5 (+114)
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+114)
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+118)
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+108)
+1.5 (-136)
-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-136)
-1.5 (+112)
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
-1.5 (+115)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-112)
8.5 (-108)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-106)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-106)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)

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Home MLB Picks St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 Prediction – 5/14/2025