St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins Pick – 8/19/2025
The St. Louis Cardinals will look for a second straight win over the Miami Marlins when the two teams play on Tuesday night. The Cardinals got a much-needed road win on Monday against a good starting pitcher in Eury Perez. St. Louis is hanging on for dear life in the NL Wild Card race and a second straight win would be huge for them here. Continue reading to get my analysis of this game and to get my Cardinals vs Marlins prediction for Tuesday.
Our Cardinals vs Marlins Pick
- Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins
- Date & Time: Tuesday, August 19, 2025, 6:40 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Michael McGreevy (STL) vs Edward Cabrera (MIA)
- Stadium: loanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: FDFL and FDMW
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
The Cardinals turn to Michael McGreevy to start this game. He enters with a 4–2 record and a 4.41 ERA. He has 28 strikeouts in 51 innings and pitching to contact could burn him against the Marlins here as well. Opposing McGreevy is Miami’s Edward Cabrera. Cabrera has been a strong arm for the Marlins with a 6–6 record and a 3.34 ERA. He is much better than McGreevy at missing bats with 120 strikeouts across 113.1 innings.
Key Players
- Willson Contreras (STL): Contreras leads the Cardinals with 66 RBI. He knocked in a run with a sacrifice fly in Monday’s win.
- Alec Burleson (STL): Burleson sparked Monday’s win with a 3-for-4 night and a go-ahead single in the seventh inning.
- Jakob Marsee (MIA): Marsee drove in two of Miami’s three runs on Monday night. He is batting .375 on the season so far.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Cardinals snapped a five-game losing streak with Monday’s win. They are still five games back in the NL Wild Card race.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games and have dropped to 7.5 games out of the final NL Wild Card spot.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Kyle Stowers | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The season series between the Cardinals and Marlins is tied 2-2.
- Road teams are 3-1 in the season series between these teams in 2025.
- The opening game of this three-game series went over the total with 11 total runs scored.
Cardinals vs Marlins Model Projection
Score Projection: Cardinals 4 – Marlins 5
Win Probability: Cardinals 47% – Marlins 53%
Final Thoughts
The Marlins have a starting pitching advantage with Cabrera on the hill in this game. Unlike Monday, I expect the Marlins to take advantage of their edge on the mound. My best bet for this game is for the Marlins to get the win on the moneyline as they should do a better job of limiting the Cardinals’ offense this time around.
