St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – 8/4/2025

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the St. Louis Cardinals at Dodger Stadium on Monday night. The Dodgers are the defending World Series champions and one of the best teams in baseball this year. But they struggled in their first series of the season against these same Cardinals. Before these teams play on Monday, keep reading to get my Cardinals vs Dodgers prediction.


Our Cardinals vs Dodgers Pick

  • Pick: Dodgers to win
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

MatchupSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date & TimeAugust 4, 2025, 10:10 PM ET
Starting PitchersSonny Gray vs. Tyler Glasnow
StadiumDodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
BroadcastMLB.tv

Key Storylines to Watch

  • Pitching Matchup: Sonny Gray and Tyler Glasnow will take the mound for their respective teams in this game. Gray is 10-5 and has a 4.38 ERA for the Cardinals. Glasnow is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA for the Dodgers. Both men have averaged over a strikeout per inning this season and both lineups will have their hands full in trying to generate offense against them.

  • Team Momentum: The Dodgers won two out of three games against the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend. They earned two wins by shutout in that series and will look to continue their stellar pitching in this game. St. Louis is 1-4 in their last five games and they lost two out of three games against the San Diego Padres over the weekend.


Best Player Props

PlayerPropPick
Shohei OhtaniHome RunsOver 0.5
Willson ContrerasHitsOver 1.5
Shohei OhtaniRBIOver 0.5

  • The Cardinals went 2-1 against the Dodgers in their first series of this season.
  • These teams scored eight runs each over their first three games against each other this year.
  • The Dodgers are 35-21 at home on the year. St. Louis is 24-33 on the road.

Cardinals vs Dodgers Model Projection

Projected Score: Dodgers 5 – Cardinals 3
Win Probability: Dodgers 65% | Cardinals 35%


Final Thoughts

The Dodgers have been stellar at home this year and the Cardinals have struggled on the road. Combine that with a slight starting pitching advantage for the Dodgers and I think that Los Angeles should come away with a win here. Look for the Dodgers to even up the season series between these teams at two games apiece.


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Home MLB Picks St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – 8/4/2025