St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox Game 1 Prediction – 6/19/2025

As the Chicago White Sox and St. Louis Cardinals prepare for their double-header on June 19, 2025, both teams are coming off an eventful previous game where the Cardinals triumphed over the White Sox with a score of 12-2. This matchup features two teams in starkly different positions, with the Cardinals holding a record of 38-35, while the White Sox languish at 23-50, struggling to find consistency throughout the season.

Sean Burke is set to take the mound for the White Sox, coming off an uneventful outing where he allowed seven earned runs over 3.2 innings against the Houston Astros in his last start. In contrast, the Cardinals will counter with Erick Fedde, who has shown flashes of brilliance despite a 3-6 record this year and a solid ERA of 3.65. The projections suggest that Fedde might have been a bit fortunate, given his xFIP of 4.92, hinting at potential volatility moving forward.

With the Cardinals favored at -140 and an implied team total of 4.27 runs, they look to capitalize on the White Sox's weaknesses, particularly against a struggling offense. As the teams gear up for this pivotal matchup, the Cardinals will aim to move further above the .500 mark, while the White Sox hope to break free from their dismal season if for just one day.

Quick Takes St. Louis Cardinals:

Erick Fedde is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #5 HR venue in the league in this game.

• This pitcher's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

The Chicago White Sox bullpen ranks as the worst in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: St. Louis Cardinals 5.21, Chicago White Sox 4.66

• Date: June 19, 2025
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Erick Fedde - Cardinals
  • Sean Burke - White Sox

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