Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction – 7/10/2025

The New York Yankees have taken the first two games of their series against the Seattle Mariners. These teams will conclude their three-game series on Thursday night in the Bronx. Seattle sends one of its All-Star pitchers to the mound in this contest, looking to avoid a sweep. Can the Mariners salvage a game from this series? Continue reading for my Mariners vs Yankees prediction for Thursday night in New York.

Our Mariners vs Yankees Pick

• Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees
• Date & Time: Thursday, July 10, 2025, 7:05 p.m. EDT
• Starting Pitchers: Bryan Woo (SEA) vs Marcus Stroman (NYY)
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
• Broadcast: YES, ROOTNW, MLB Network

Pitching form

• Bryan Woo is 8‑4 with a 2.77 ERA this season. He earned a spot in the All-Star Game next week thanks to his pinpoint control and ability to avoid damage.
• Marcus Stroman has struggled this year in limited action. He is sporting a 7.45 ERA and has recently returned from injury. He’ll need to regain form fast to help the Yankees.

Bullpen usage

Both bullpens struggled to some degree when these teams played on Wednesday. The game ended with a 9-6 final score and both bullpens took some damage. The bullpen that does the best job of putting that game behind them and hanging zeroes on the board today will give their team the best chance to win.

Recent team streaks

• The Mariners set a franchise record with three consecutive shutouts last weekend. But they have lost two straight to the Yankees since then.
• The Yankees have struggled over the last month. But they have won three games in a row going into this series finale.

Best Player Props

Betting Trends & H2H

• The Mariners are 23-23 on the road this season. The Yankees are 28-17 at home.
• NYY is just 1-6 as underdogs this year.
• Day/night splits: Seattle is 26-31 at night in 2025. New York is 30-26 in night games.
• Mariners games have gone over their totals 55.7% of the time during the 2025 regular season.

Mariners vs Yankees Model Projection

Score Projection: SEA 5 – NYY 4

Win Probability: SEA 55%, NYY 45%

Final Thoughts

My biggest key to this Mariners vs Yankees matchup is the starting pitching situation for both sides. The Mariners are in a much better spot with their starting pitcher heading into this game. I expect Woo to pitch better than Stroman in this game. I also expect the Mariners to win this contest as a slight favorite on the road. They will salvage the final game of this three-game set before turning their attention to the American League leading Detroit Tigers this weekend.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.