Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Prediction – 8/17/2025
The 2025 MLB Little League Classic will be played by the Seattle Mariners and New York Mets on Sunday night. The environment surrounding this game is a fun novelty. But the game itself has some very serious implications for both teams. Before the big leaguers put on a show for the little leaguers in Williamsport, continue reading to get my Mariners vs Mets prediction.
Our Mariners vs Mets Pick
- Pick: Mets Moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5 stars
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 17, 2025, 7:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: George Kirby (SEA) vs Clay Holmes (NYM)
- Stadium: BB&T Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field in Williamsport, PA
- Broadcast: ESPN
Key Storylines
The Mets are struggling badly in the month of August. Their offense has become erratic and their starting pitching has failed to deliver consistently. But they did get a win and will look to build on that performance in this game.
The Mariners surged in early August but they have struggled over their last couple of series. Both teams are holding onto Wild Card spots in their respective leagues but need wins in games like this one to keep it that way.
The other main storyline going into this game is that this contest is being played at a neutral field. Williamsport, PA is the home of the Little League Baseball World Series and the players will go there to play this game and meet the participants in this year’s LLWS. It will be interesting to see how the change of venue impacts both teams.
Pitching Matchup
We are set for a good pitching matchup in this game. George Kirby enters with an 8-5 record and a 3.71 ERA. He’s delivered four starts in a row of at least six innings, two earned runs or fewer, and with six or more strikeouts.
Clay Holmes is 9-6 with a 3.71 ERA this year. His workload this season has grown considerably but he’s shown signs of fatigue with outings cut short frequently. He hasn’t escaped the fifth inning in his recent starts and will aim to go deeper into this contest.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Mariners have lost three of their last four games.
- New York snapped a three-game losing streak with their win on Saturday.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat |
|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| George Kirby | Under 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Juan Soto | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- These teams are tied 1-1 in their season series this year.
- This is the final game scheduled between these teams in the regular season.
- The over/under is 1-1 in games played between the Mets and Mariners in 2025.
Mariners vs Mets Model Projection
Score Projection: Seattle Mariners 5 – New York Mets 6
Win Probability: Mariners 46 % – Mets 54 %
Final Thoughts
The starting pitching matchup in this game is pretty even between Kirby and Holmes. The Mets losing a home game to play in this event is unfortunate for them. But I think a change of scenery could help to wake their offense up. I’ll take the Mets to win this series finale as a slight underdog.
