Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Prediction – 8/16/2025
The Seattle Mariners won the opening game of their interleague series against the New York Mets on the road on Friday. Both teams had no problem scoring runs in that game but Seattle did just a little more damage offensively in that game. The Mets and Mariners will face off again on Saturday in a game where both teams are hoping for more success on the mound. Before the action begins, keep reading to get my Mariners vs Mets prediction.
Our Mariners vs Mets Pick
- Pick: Mariners Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Bryan Woo (3.08 ERA) vs Nolan McLean (making his MLB debut)
- Stadium: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: WPIX and ROOT Sports NW
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Seattle sends Bryan Woo to the mound in this game. He has logged a 3.08 ERA with solid strikeout numbers. His FIP and other advanced metrics suggest he is one of the best pitchers in baseball. But the Mets’ power bats could test him early. The Mets will introduce Nolan McLean in this game for his MLB debut. McLean has dominated in AA/AAA with a 2.45 ERA and 127 strikeouts in 113 innings. He brings a fresh arm but his inexperience at the MLB level is a risk.
Key Players
- Can Raleigh hit his 46th home run of the season for the Mariners last night and he will be a key figure in this game.
- Juan Soto and Francisco Lindor hit home runs for the Mets in their loss on Friday night. Their power will be key in trying to get Woo out of this game as early as possible.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Mariners ended a two-game losing streak with their win in New York on Friday.
- The Mets have lost three games in a row and four of their last five.
Best Player Props
| Player | Stat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Bryan Woo | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Cal Raleigh | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Seattle won the first game of the season series between these teams on Friday.
- There were 20 total runs scored in Friday’s series opener. The game flew easily over the total.
- The Mets are 26-31 after a loss this season.
Mariners vs Mets Model Projection
Score Projection: Mariners 5 – Mets 3
Win Probability: Mariners 59%, Mets 41%
Final Thoughts
The Mariners have the starting pitching advantage going into this game. Bryan Woo is an All-Star level pitcher and should be able to outperform a pitcher who is making his MLB debut today. I will go with Seattle to win this game on the road and to clinch a series win over the Mets with a game left to go.
