Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction – 6/7/2025

On June 7, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Seattle Mariners at Angel Stadium for the second game of their series. The Angels, sitting at 29-33, are struggling this season, ranked 23rd in overall offense and 26th in batting average. In contrast, the Mariners are having a solid year with a 32-30 record and rank 12th in MLB offense.

Jack Kochanowicz is projected to start for the Angels. Although he has a Win/Loss record of 3-7 and an ERA of 5.34, he does have a high groundball rate of 51%, which could serve as a tactical advantage against the Mariners' powerful lineup. However, with the Mariners hitting the 6th most home runs in MLB this season, the challenge will be significant. Kochanowicz is projected to pitch 5.3 innings, yielding 2.9 earned runs, with concerns regarding his ability to limit walks and hits.

Luis Castillo, on the other hand, is the Mariners' starter and comes in with a much stronger season behind him, sporting a 4-3 record and an impressive ERA of 3.03. Castillo's ability to eat up innings while allowing just 2.6 earned runs makes him a tough opponent for the Angels, especially given their current struggles. The Mariners' offense also excels in home runs, ranking 6th in MLB, which could turn Castillo's flyball tendencies into potential scoring opportunities.

Though the Angels are currently listed as underdogs with a moneyline of +135, the projections suggest that they might outperform expectations based on their power potential. With the Game Total set at an average 8.5 runs, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle of pitching and offensive strengths.

Quick Takes Seattle Mariners:

Among all the teams today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Bats such as Jorge Polanco with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Seattle Mariners batters jointly place 6th- in the league for power this year when judging by their 10.2% Barrel%.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Jack Kochanowicz (51.5% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 FB hitters in Seattle's projected batting order.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Over the past two weeks, Nolan Schanuel's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 11th-best hitter in MLB.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 51% ROI)

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Seattle Mariners 5.08, Los Angeles Angels 4.15

• Date: June 7, 2025
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Luis Castillo - Mariners
  • Jack Kochanowicz - Angels

Get daily MLB picks here.