Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Pick – 6/6/2025

The Seattle Mariners travel to Angel Stadium to face the Los Angeles Angels on June 6, 2025, in the first game of a series between these two American League West rivals. The Mariners currently hold a slight edge in the standings with a record of 32-29, while the Angels sit at 28-33, struggling in their campaign. Despite this, the Angels boast a powerful offense, ranking 3rd in MLB in home runs, which could play a significant role in this matchup. In their last game, the Mariners were unable to find their rhythm, losing a low-scoring affair, while the Angels are looking to build momentum against the Mariners’ starter, Bryce Miller.

Miller, projected to pitch 5.2 innings, has an average strikeout rate of 19.2% and a concerning walk rate of 11.4%. While he possesses the potential to keep the Angels’ high-strikeout lineup at bay, his inconsistency could be a vulnerability. On the other hand, Kyle Hendricks, who has been having a rough year with a 5.34 ERA, is projected to pitch 5.4 innings. Although ranked 247th among MLB pitchers, his 4.79 SIERA suggests he might have been unlucky thus far and could turn a corner.

The Mariners’ offense ranks 12th in the league overall, but they struggle with batting average, sitting at 24th. Given the Angels' high home run rate, this could tilt the scales in their favor. With a Game Total set at 9.5 runs, it promises to be an exciting matchup, and while the Mariners are favored, the Angels' power could lead to a surprising victory.

Quick Takes Seattle Mariners:

Bryce Miller is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #10 HR venue in the majors today.

• This pitcher's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

J.P. Crawford has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 79.7-mph in the past two weeks.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Seattle Mariners batters collectively place 6th- in baseball for power this year when judging by their 10.1% Barrel%.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Kyle Hendricks has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 6 opposite-handed bats in today's game.

• A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Typically, bats like Mike Trout who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bryce Miller.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Mike Trout projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+6.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+14.60 Units / 162% ROI)

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Seattle Mariners 4.95, Los Angeles Angels 4.26

• Date: June 6, 2025
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Bryce Miller - Mariners
  • Kyle Hendricks - Angels

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