Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Prediction – 7/11/2025

The Seattle Mariners journey to Comerica Park for a Friday evening showdown against the Detroit Tigers on July 11. This game features a great pitching matchup. Luis Castillo and Tarik Skubal will face off in a battle of Cy Young-caliber pitchers. Before they do battle on the bump, continue reading to get my Mariners vs Tigers prediction from Detroit.

Our Mariners vs Tigers Pick

  • Pick: Under 7
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers
  • Date & Time: Friday, July 11, 2025 – 7:10 PM
  • Starting Pitchers: Luis Castillo vs Tarik Skubal
  • Stadium: Comerica Park, Detroit
  • Broadcast: Apple TV+

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Luis Castillo is just 5-5 on the season. But he is better individually than his win total would show. He has a 3.31 ERA and is capable of shutting down quality offenses. Tarik Skubal is pitching like he deserves a second straight AL Cy Young award. He’s 10-2 with a 2.02 ERA and should probably have more wins than he does given how well he’s pitched.

Recent team streaks

Detroit is 4–1 over its last five games but comes into this game off of a loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Seattle lost three games in a row to the New York Yankees prior to the start of this series.

Best Player Props

PlayerPropLine
Cal Raleigh (SEA)Total BasesOver 2.5
Riley Greene (DET)Home RunsOver 0.5
Tarik Skubal (DET)StrikeoutsOver 8.5 K

Mariners vs Tigers Model Projection

Score Projection: Detroit 4 – Seattle 2

Win Probability: Detroit 68%, Seattle 32%

Final Thoughts

Detroit’s Skubal is arguably the best pitcher in the American League right now. His shutdown showing combined with the Tigers’ home-field advantage should help Detroit win this game. But I feel more strongly about the under in this game. With two aces on the hill, I expect a low-scoring night in the Motor City.


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Home MLB Picks Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers Prediction – 7/11/2025