Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction – 8/14/2025
The Seattle Mariners will close out their series against the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday afternoon. Seattle saw its eight-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday and will look to get back into the win column in this contest. Before Thursday’s game, continue reading to get my breakdown of this game and my Mariners vs Orioles prediction.
Our Mariners vs Orioles Pick
- Pick: Under 9.5
- Confidence: ★★☆☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date & Time: Thursday, August 14, 2025, 1:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers:
- Seattle – Logan Evans (6–4, 4.36 ERA)
- Baltimore – Tomoyuki Sugano (9–5, 4.24 ERA)
- Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Logan Evans has been solid for the Mariners this season. He has a 4.36 ERA with 57 strikeouts over 74.1 innings. He’s won two straight starts against the Rangers and Rays and will aim for a third straight win here. Tomoyuki Sugano will get the start for the Orioles on Thursday. He has a respectable 4.24 ERA, 80 strikeouts, and a 1.31 WHIP. Sugano thrives on weak contact rather than strikeouts without sacrificing effectiveness.
Key Players
- Cal Raleigh (SEA): Leads MLB with 45 home runs and 98 RBI. Raleigh is a power bat who can break a low-scoring game wide open in most games. But he failed to do so in Seattle’s 4-3 loss on Wednesday.
- Ryan Mountcastle (BAL): Mountcastle clubbed a home run for the Orioles to open their scoring in Wednesday’s win.
Recent team streaks
- The Mariners had an eight-game winning streak end with their loss in their last game against the O’s.
- Baltimore snapped a three-game losing streak in their last outing.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Logan Evans | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Julio Rodríguez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Orioles have a 4-1 lead in their season series against the Mariners.
- Wednesday’s win for the Orioles was the first win by a home team in the five games these teams have played this season.
- Both games in this three-game series have gone under their totals.
Mariners vs Orioles Model Projection
Score Projection: Mariners 5 – Orioles 3
Win Probability: Mariners 55%, Orioles 45%
Final Thoughts
I think we are going to get another low-scoring game between the Mariners and Orioles on Thursday afternoon. Both pitchers in this game are above-average in my opinion. And with just eight total runs scored in the last two games, I think we see this game fall short of its 9.5-run total in Baltimore.
