Seattle Mariners vs Athletics Prediction – 7/30/2025
The Seattle Mariners and the Athletics will wrap up a three-game series in the AL West on Wednesday night. These teams have split their last two matchups in Sacramento heading into this rubber match. Seattle is the favorite but the A’s have been playing some solid baseball of late themselves. To get a full breakdown of this matchup, including my Mariners vs Athletics prediction, continue reading this preview of the game.
Our Mariners vs Athletics Pick
- Pick: Mariners to win
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics |
| Date & Time | July 30, 2025, 10:05 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Bryan Woo vs. Jeffrey Springs |
| Stadium | Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA |
| Broadcast | MLB Network |
Key Storylines to Watch
Cal Raleigh’s MVP Run: Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh has emerged as the frontrunner for the American League MVP award. He leads the majors with 41 home runs and 87 RBI. Raleigh has a chance to run away with this award with Aaron Judge dealing with an injury
Athletics’ Relocation Impact: The Athletics are playing their first season in West Sacramento’s Sutter Health Park after their relocation from Oakland. They have gone 21-32 in their new home this year.
Team Momentum: The Athletics have won five of their last six games. They swept the Houston Astros over four games before splitting the first two games of this series with the Mariners. Seattle is 2-3 in their last five games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Julio Rodríguez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Jeffrey Springs | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
The Mariners lead the season series between these teams by a 5-4 margin.
Each of the first two games of this series have gone under their totals.
The Athletics have gone over the total in 55% of their games this season. That is the third-highest percentage in MLB.
The Mariners have the highest percentage of overs in baseball. They have gone over the total in 55.9% of their games.
Mariners vs Athletics Model Projection
Projected Score: Mariners 5 – Athletics 3
Win Probability: Mariners 65%, Athletics 35%
Final Thoughts
The Athletics have been playing well lately and they deserve credit for that. Still, I think that the Mariners take the rubber match of this series on Wednesday night. The Mariners have the edge in the starting pitching department in this game. I expect Bryan Woo and his 2.91 ERA to cool off the bats of the Athletics and for Seattle to get a much-needed win as they fight for their playoff lives over the next couple of months.
