San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals Odds & Picks – 8/8/2024

San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals Details

• Date: August 8, 2024
• Venue: Nationals Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Kyle Harrison - Giants
  • DJ Herz - Nationals

Betting Odds

San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals Betting Preview

As the Washington Nationals prepare to face off against the San Francisco Giants on August 8, 2024, they come into this matchup looking to shake off a disappointing season, holding a record of 52-63. The Giants, meanwhile, sit at an even 58-58, having experienced an average stretch lately. In their last game, the Nationals faced the Giants, with San Francisco coming away with a road win in that contest.

The pitching matchup features DJ Herz for Washington and Kyle Harrison for San Francisco. Herz, who has started 10 games this season, carries a modest ERA of 4.27 and a xFIP of 3.47, suggesting he may have been a bit unlucky this year and could improve. This is particularly relevant against a Giants offense that ranks 6th in MLB for drawing walks. Herz's control could neutralize that strength, as he is a low-walk pitcher with a 6.5 BB% this year.

On the other side, Kyle Harrison has been less effective, with a 4.09 ERA and significant concerns highlighted by a high 4.86 xERA, hinting at potential decline. The Nationals’ offense, however, has struggled, ranking 23rd in the league overall and 29th in home runs. This lack of power could give the Giants a slight edge, especially since Harrison is a high-flyball pitcher, and the Nationals may find it challenging to capitalize on that vulnerability.

With Washington’s best hitter Luis Garcia heating up—recording 10 hits over the last week—the Nationals will look to leverage their top performer to create offensive opportunities. The Game Total is set at 9.0 runs, indicating expectations for a competitive game. Given the Giants' superior bullpen ranking, it's a tight contest that could swing based on how well each team's offense can connect with their opponent's pitchers.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Harrison is expected to average a total of 16.4 outs in this game.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Patrick Bailey has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today's game.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Heliot Ramos has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Quick Takes Washington Nationals:

With 7 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, DJ Herz has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

From last season to this one, Keibert Ruiz's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 89.9 mph to 86.9 mph.

• Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.

The Washington Nationals projected lineup ranks as the weakest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

• A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Game Trends

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 71% ROI)

San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals Prediction

Final Score: San Francisco Giants 4.56 vs Washington Nationals 3.77

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.