San Francisco Giants vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 7/18/2025

There may not be a team playing better baseball than the Toronto Blue Jays at this stage of the MLB season. Toronto has jumped to the top of the AL East standings. On Friday, the Jays will look to continue their hot streak as they host the San Francisco Giants to start the second half of their season. Continue reading to get my Giants vs Blue Jays prediction for this Friday night interleague game.

Our Giants vs Blue Jays Pick

  • Pick: Toronto Blue Jays moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs Toronto Blue Jays
  • Date & Time: Friday, July 18, 2025, 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Justin Verlander vs Chris Bassitt
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
  • Broadcast: MLB Network, Sportsnet, NBCS‑BA

Key Storylines

Pitching form

Chris Bassitt has had a solid season for the Toronto Blue Jays. He is 9-4 with a 4.12 ERA for the season. He looks even better when compared to Giants starter Justin Verlander. Verlander is 0-7 this season with a 4.70 ERA. He has not been what the Giants had hoped he would be so far. But he has a chance to start turning things around against the Blue Jays tonight.

Bullpen usage

Both of these teams rank in the top 10 in bullpen ERA for the season. But the Giants have really set themselves apart in that department in 2025. San Francisco ranks first in the league in bullpen ERA and could have the advantage if this game is close in the final innings of play.

Recent team streaks

The Blue Jays are 7‑3 in their last 10 games but they did lose three of their last four games to finish the first half of their season. The Giants have also lost three of their last four games. Those losses came against title contenders in the LA Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Over 0.5 Home runs
Justin VerlanderUnder 5.5 Strikeouts
George SpringerOver 1.5 Total bases
  • This game is the first in the three-game season series between the Giants and Blue Jays this year.
  • Toronto has gone over the total in 54.8% of their games this season. That ranks third in MLB.
  • The Blue Jays rank second in MLB in runline win percentage at 57.3%.

Giants vs Blue Jays Model Projection

Score Projection: Toronto 5 – San Francisco 3

Win Probability: Toronto 62%, San Francisco 38%

Final Thoughts

The Giants have the bullpen advantage in this game. But they are at a huge disadvantage in terms of starting pitching in this matchup. Look for Bassitt to help the Jays grab an early lead in this contest and for them to not let it go. Toronto should win this game and I don’t mind backing them to cover the runline either.


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Home MLB Picks San Francisco Giants vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 7/18/2025