San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Picks – 6/23/2024

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals Details

• Date: June 23, 2024
• Venue: Busch Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Logan Webb - Giants
  • Sonny Gray - Cardinals

Betting Odds

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

As we look ahead to the June 23, 2024, matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and the San Francisco Giants at Busch Stadium, both teams find themselves in a tight contest. This National League showdown is the third game in the series and features the following starting pitchers pitchers: Sonny Gray for the Cardinals and Logan Webb for the Giants.

The Cardinals, sitting at 38-37, are having an average season. They have been consistently middle-of-the-road offensively, ranking 17th in team batting average and struggling with power and speed, ranking 20th in home runs and 22nd in stolen bases.

The Giants' offense has been slightly better in terms of batting average, ranking 12th, but they have major issues on the basepaths, ranking dead last in stolen bases. Logan Webb, their projected starter, will have to face a Cardinals lineup where Brendan Donovan has been red-hot over the last 7 days. Donovan has hit .423 with a 1.231 OPS, accumulating 3 home runs and 8 RBIs in just six games.

Market odds favor the Cardinals slightly, with a moneyline of -130 and an implied win probability of 54%. However, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, projects the Giants' win probability at 51%, suggesting potential value in betting on the Giants. Additionally, both teams are projected to score low, with Cardinals at 3.37 runs and Giants at 3.66 runs, respectively.

Given the low implied team totals and the close projections, fans can expect a tightly contested game at Busch Stadium. Betting markets lean slightly towards the Cardinals, but discerning bettors might find some value in the Giants, who are projected to perform better than their implied odds suggest.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the San Francisco Giants are expected to tally the 3rd-least runs (3.66 on average) on the slate today.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Quick Takes St. Louis Cardinals:

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nolan Gorman, Pedro Pages, Matt Carpenter).

• Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Game Trends

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)

San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Final Score: San Francisco Giants 3.66 vs St. Louis Cardinals 3.37

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