San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction – 8/5/2025
The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the San Francisco Giants in Pittsburgh on Tuesday night. The Pirates won the first game of this series at PNC Park and continued their run of dominance against the Giants this season. Will that trend continue in this game or will the Giants finally break through against Pittsburgh? Continue reading to find out as I bring you my Giants vs Pirates prediction.
Our Giants vs Pirates Pick
- Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Date & Time | August 5, 2025, 6:40 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Logan Webb vs. Mike Burrows |
| Stadium | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA |
| Broadcast | MLB.tv |
Key Storylines to Watch
Team Momentum: The Pirates have won three of their last five games. That includes Monday’s series opening win over the Giants at home. San Francisco has lost three of their last five games and will look to turn things around in this game.
Head-to-Head: Pittsburgh has been better against the Giants than they have been against most other opponents they have faced this year. They are 4-0 against San Francisco this season and three of those four wins came on the road for Pittsburgh.
Offensive Production: The Giants average 4.15 runs per game. That number is slightly higher than the Pirates’ 3.58. But the Pirates’ recent form against the Giants could render numbers like that meaningless.
Best Player Props
Bryan Reynolds (PIT): Reynolds leads the Pirates in RBI this season. Known for his power, I think a home run prop could offer value.
Willy Adames (SF): Adames leads the Giants in home runs in 2025. His ability to go yard could make him a candidate for total bases props.
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- Pittsburgh is 4-0 against the Giants on the year.
- All four games between these teams have been decided by one or two runs.
- The over/under is 2-2 in games between the Pirates and Giants in 2025.
Giants vs Pirates Model Projection
Projected Score: San Francisco Giants 4 – Pittsburgh Pirates 3
Win Probability: San Francisco Giants 55% | Pittsburgh Pirates 45%
Final Thoughts
The Giants should have the advantage over the Pirates tonight. Logan Webb gives the Giants a sizable advantage on the mound in this matchup. That should be enough to help the Giants to get their first win of the season against Pittsburgh after four straight losses against them.
